@Predictandbreathe
#3,070,336180x2707f2e693b3d20b5a17b603c532571108140afa
~462d· 2766 markets · 55830 tradesVol: $20,055,0612026-08-02 07:05:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (998/2741)3.2/20
0.92x (win $1,161,810 / loss $1,264,864)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9240/15
Sortino -1.3080/10
$-0.0270 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 32 (2741 markets)10/10
166/402 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 575% of peak ($144,585 / $25,150)0/10
Badges
6Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Whale
$3,817,400 invested
High Roller
$5,453/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,882,089$-140,798Vol: $10,832,506
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,040$-2,953Vol: $5,253,536
₿ CRYPTO#1,571,546$-362Vol: $2,479,196
📈 ECONOMICS#681,484$-5,967Vol: $818,110
💰 FINANCE#657,188$-12,083Vol: $288,986
🎭 CULTURE#327$23,718Vol: $285,030
📢 MENTIONS#175,201$-1,260Vol: $34,422
💻 TECH#255,275$-521Vol: $11,284
🌤️ WEATHER#269,664$-34Vol: $1,146
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-132,167
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,055,061
Total Redeem
$23,812
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2766
total markets
Trades
46229B / 9601S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~462d
Periods
#2Today
$435
Vol: $838
Week
$2,483
Vol: $838
Month
$404
Vol: $945
All Time
$-132,167
Vol: $20,055,061
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
998W / 1743L events
Realized PnL
$-132,167
Win Rate
36%
998W / 1743L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$1,164
Avg Loss
$-727
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67,720 (0.5123846471217874% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?$27,465
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$22,335
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$17,920
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?$16,712
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$16,560
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?$15,990
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$15,899
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$14,982
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$13,674
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$13,079
Top Losers
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-31,517
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-25,349
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-19,191
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-16,245
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$-13,733
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$-11,612
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?$-10,756
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?$-10,563
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-10,331
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?$-9,700
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
79.8
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.1
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 4.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock80 trades/day — mass trading4.0 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)52.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.6%
High (>55c)15%
Sessions
#122/25/2026, 9:24:24 PM69 trades$55,59631 min
3/3/2026, 11:55:53 PM13 trades$46,16117 min
3/13/2026, 5:13:57 PM40 trades$41,41019 min
3/15/2026, 8:51:55 PM110 trades$33,55541 min
7/26/2026, 1:33:49 PM417 trades$33,35562 min
3/31/2026, 5:17:11 PM95 trades$32,46713 min
2/15/2026, 2:01:05 AM80 trades$32,10821 min
4/1/2026, 9:23:27 PM106 trades$31,72821 min
1/30/2026, 4:46:46 PM15 trades$31,59221 min
3/13/2026, 9:26:43 PM36 trades$30,64824 min
4/5/2026, 12:40:55 AM9 trades$29,9985 min
3/13/2026, 3:55:55 PM53 trades$29,4436 min
2/28/2026, 3:46:17 PM53 trades$26,46521 min
1/25/2026, 11:17:56 PM2 trades$25,7172 min
1/19/2026, 10:50:26 PM24 trades$24,14838 min
1/29/2026, 12:19:38 AM3 trades$23,8341 min
1/28/2026, 9:52:14 PM12 trades$23,56523 min
2/20/2026, 12:05:06 PM3 trades$22,8741 min
3/4/2026, 9:52:45 AM77 trades$22,62225 min
2/27/2026, 9:58:37 PM4 trades$22,5874 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-02
12-31
04-12
06-30
12-15
02-27
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 294 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.99/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.4 / M32.6 / H15