@moonlore

#2,817,2360

0x277c1f50037e6c48deb6471475496ddeac0ab537

~10d· 18 markets · 54 tradesVol: $60,4622026-09-28 10:07:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (2/16)0/20
0.11x (win $36 / loss $322)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2267 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2465 (16 markets)0.2/10
0/6 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($286 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+54
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#655,224$-342Vol: $39,141
🏛️ POLITICS#51,835$153Vol: $4,339
₿ CRYPTO#1,338,516$-31Vol: $449
📢 MENTIONS#157,138$-37Vol: $228
⚽ SPORTS#1,213,023$-5Vol: $71

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-257
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$60,462
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
27B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-112
Vol: $28,540
All Time
$-257
Vol: $60,462

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
2W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$54
Win Rate
13%
2W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (0.6741971620612397% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ODDIK (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group C$22
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs$14

Top Losers

Netanyahu out by March 31?$-190
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$-30
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Cocaine" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winner$-11
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?$-10
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-10
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$-8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$-8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$-8
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.658
Sortino
-0.658
HHI
254
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.738
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
24.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.3m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)11.1%

Sessions

#12
9/3/2026, 9:58:54 PM20 trades$19,5930 min
8/30/2026, 9:53:07 AM3 trades$1,0730 min
8/25/2026, 8:51:24 AM6 trades$5480 min
3/8/2026, 10:01:57 PM3 trades$678 min
3/16/2026, 12:28:11 AM2 trades$570 min
2/24/2026, 8:32:56 PM4 trades$573 min
3/8/2026, 9:11:35 PM1 trades$440 min
3/15/2026, 4:20:27 PM3 trades$380 min
2/27/2026, 2:29:59 PM3 trades$282 min
3/6/2026, 8:41:35 PM1 trades$210 min
3/6/2026, 5:59:37 PM4 trades$164 min
3/6/2026, 8:30:29 PM1 trades$110 min
3/9/2026, 12:43:33 AM2 trades$60 min
3/8/2026, 10:19:17 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
02-27
03-06
03-08
03-09
03-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.1 / M14.8 / H11.1