@0x282E29…0819

#78,51928

0x282e29ba8b717c9941f49e40d6cd7970aee4e8e6

~59d· 46 markets · 638 tradesVol: $68,2742026-08-04 19:44:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (11/18)15.6/20
0.19x (win $3,890 / loss $20,578)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6040/15
Sortino -4.5030/10
$-0.4184 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1562 (18 markets)4.7/10
11/18 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 1122% of peak ($20,374 / $1,816)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+1,059
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 22.0 entries/market
Consistent
11/18 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#17,301$1,059Vol: $68,274

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,059
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,274
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
269B / 369S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$33
Vol: $44
Week
$-23
Vol: $338
Month
$66
Vol: $953
All Time
$1,059
Vol: $68,274

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
11W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$1,059
Win Rate
61%
11W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$354
Avg Loss
$-3,430

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,994 (2.8276497086571784% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,168
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,081
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$745
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$528
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$212
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$44
Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?$40
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$35
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-16,153
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-4,186
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-35
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-2
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.144
HHI
1757
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.394
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26%
Top-5 markets
85.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 504s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.6%
High (>55c)66.9%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 9:27:03 PM30 trades$6,3193 min
6/14/2026, 12:06:46 PM18 trades$4,3803 min
7/8/2026, 6:01:20 AM28 trades$3,68216 min
6/24/2026, 12:09:22 PM1 trades$3,4630 min
6/24/2026, 12:22:17 PM12 trades$3,3222 min
6/20/2026, 9:49:31 AM27 trades$2,68113 min
6/6/2026, 8:09:06 AM4 trades$1,5572 min
7/18/2026, 2:21:15 PM7 trades$1,4061 min
4/6/2026, 11:55:27 AM14 trades$1,3100 min
4/25/2026, 8:34:28 PM4 trades$1,2240 min
6/14/2026, 4:16:57 PM2 trades$1,1430 min
4/30/2026, 12:17:08 AM2 trades$1,0120 min
6/24/2026, 12:54:37 PM13 trades$1,0066 min
5/26/2026, 8:25:43 PM2 trades$9210 min
6/14/2026, 4:32:22 PM1 trades$9050 min
5/28/2026, 5:24:17 AM1 trades$8950 min
7/18/2026, 2:36:19 PM5 trades$8530 min
7/17/2026, 6:14:45 AM4 trades$8470 min
6/25/2026, 8:57:59 PM1 trades$7610 min
6/12/2026, 5:11:37 PM2 trades$6950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
05-12
05-28
06-06
06-13
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.5 / M2.6 / H66.9