Polydata

@ca-maple

#3,045,45319

0x2a72fe6d4731b7260ec10520fe001ab88f77a2ab

~88d· 728 markets · 3042 tradesVol: $270,4222026-07-31 12:00:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (265/559)8.7/20
0.58x (win $5,330 / loss $9,170)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6730/15
Sortino -6.3390/10
$-0.0801 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 142 (559 markets)10/10
17/71 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,433 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,873$-2,450Vol: $107,231
💰 FINANCE#653,187$-1,285Vol: $46,782
SPORTS#1,808,626$-680Vol: $29,609
🌤️ WEATHER#295,852$-797Vol: $22,997
📈 ECONOMICS#673,701$-462Vol: $17,468
🎭 CULTURE#801,055$-343Vol: $14,039
💻 TECH#251,664$-198Vol: $9,631
CRYPTO#1,568,052$-340Vol: $8,868
📢 MENTIONS#167,601$-173Vol: $3,461

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,043
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$270,422
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
728
total markets
Trades
1350B / 1692S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$-116
Vol: $6,926
Week
$-481
Vol: $25,144
Month
$-3,896
Vol: $164,412
All Time
$-7,043
Vol: $270,422

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
265W / 294L events
Realized PnL
$-7,043
Win Rate
47%
265W / 294L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,753 (0.2489584901159505% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?$893
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$639
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$222
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$182
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$148
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?$147
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?$141
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?$131
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$127
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?$111

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-467
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$-440
Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant Tournament$-374
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-366
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$-328
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$-248
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$-242
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-226
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?$-225
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-220

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.243
Sortino
-0.379
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.192
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.0
Active
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 300s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency7.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.7%
High (>55c)61.3%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 4:16:13 PM7 trades$1,5990 min
7/20/2026, 8:16:30 AM11 trades$1,3820 min
7/21/2026, 12:24:01 PM10 trades$1,2930 min
7/23/2026, 2:06:00 AM22 trades$1,2511 min
7/28/2026, 10:25:13 PM12 trades$1,2110 min
6/5/2026, 2:23:00 AM11 trades$1,2020 min
7/22/2026, 9:14:39 AM18 trades$1,1900 min
7/27/2026, 4:30:45 PM17 trades$1,0830 min
6/24/2026, 1:24:11 PM8 trades$1,0784 min
6/25/2026, 6:16:49 PM8 trades$9900 min
6/20/2026, 8:42:35 PM13 trades$9580 min
6/11/2026, 6:48:40 AM8 trades$9490 min
6/27/2026, 10:12:10 AM10 trades$9153 min
7/16/2026, 11:15:16 AM4 trades$8940 min
7/24/2026, 7:59:12 AM12 trades$8710 min
7/21/2026, 7:23:37 AM5 trades$8620 min
7/21/2026, 7:41:07 PM5 trades$8500 min
7/2/2026, 1:17:35 PM8 trades$8500 min
7/3/2026, 7:35:34 PM8 trades$8460 min
7/19/2026, 8:29:01 PM15 trades$8260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-12
05-27
06-09
06-20
07-01
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M28.7 / H61.3