@holygrail1

#3,063,29115

0x2b4dad71932d9aaef27578ae274d1b59a300ae93

~23d· 49 markets · 292 tradesVol: $542,3552026-08-02 06:26:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (17/48)2.7/20
0.62x (win $31,895 / loss $51,427)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0130/15
Sortino -5.9050/10
$-0.2389 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 457 (48 markets)10/10
7/18 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 372% of peak ($26,720 / $7,187)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Whale
$81,747 invested
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,878,351$-15,977Vol: $350,719
📈 ECONOMICS#681,042$-4,173Vol: $191,627
CRYPTO#974,864$-3Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,153
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$542,355
Total Redeem
$1,873
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
261B / 31S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
17W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-20,153
Win Rate
35%
17W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$1,876
Avg Loss
$-1,659

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,335 (0.7113017486353439% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7,833
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?$3,495
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$3,007
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$2,814
Pistons vs. Raptors$2,495
Celtics vs. Lakers$1,920
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1,912
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1,472
Spread: Kings (-2.5)$1,134
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)$940

Top Losers

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?$-10,100
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-4,179
Hornets vs. Celtics$-3,650
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)$-3,000
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)$-2,565
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm$-2,100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$-2,040
Spurs vs. Warriors$-2,000
Cavaliers vs. Thunder$-2,000
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers$-1,875

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.379
HHI
407
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.240
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
34%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.8%
Mid (20-55c)37.9%
High (>55c)12.3%

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 8:00:37 PM1 trades$10,1000 min
2/22/2026, 12:21:44 AM2 trades$8,8902 min
2/22/2026, 3:53:24 PM2 trades$6,3010 min
3/5/2026, 12:44:07 AM6 trades$6,2152 min
2/22/2026, 8:56:36 PM2 trades$6,1175 min
2/21/2026, 8:04:48 PM21 trades$5,0005 min
2/12/2026, 2:52:09 AM1 trades$4,9950 min
3/4/2026, 1:19:45 AM1 trades$4,9950 min
2/11/2026, 11:19:47 PM5 trades$4,9644 min
2/10/2026, 10:42:21 PM1 trades$4,7000 min
2/12/2026, 10:12:01 PM2 trades$4,1500 min
3/17/2026, 7:49:53 PM3 trades$3,9922 min
2/11/2026, 4:23:13 PM3 trades$3,4171 min
2/22/2026, 6:09:46 PM1 trades$3,3000 min
2/24/2026, 12:20:50 AM20 trades$3,2522 min
3/29/2026, 2:01:58 AM2 trades$3,2402 min
2/11/2026, 10:36:03 PM4 trades$3,0003 min
2/22/2026, 10:46:02 PM3 trades$2,9466 min
3/15/2026, 4:36:01 PM2 trades$2,2551 min
2/7/2026, 12:59:55 AM2 trades$2,1002 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
02-21
02-24
03-05
03-17
03-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.8 / M37.9 / H12.3