@rufan

#540,13642

0x2b70043e68b9af284a7e87e3d9494fa877b3560c

~13d· 33 markets · 54 tradesVol: $9,0982026-09-23 04:01:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (17/31)12.4/20
1.18x (win $32 / loss $27)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.03015/15
Sortino 2.11610/10
$+0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3814 (31 markets)0/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($14 / $19)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+6
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#164,728$11Vol: $5,689
💰 FINANCE#477,470$-1Vol: $2,224
₿ CRYPTO#287,709$4Vol: $465
🌤️ WEATHER#180,141$-1Vol: $442
💻 TECH#193,268$-1Vol: $122
📈 ECONOMICS#134,186$1Vol: $74
⚽ SPORTS#1,211,251$-5Vol: $35
🎭 CULTURE#634,368$-4Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,098
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
35B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Week
$-192
Vol: $4,451
Month
$-192
Vol: $4,451
All Time
$6
Vol: $9,098

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
17W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$6
Win Rate
55%
17W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (4.5703971119133575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?$22
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$2
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$2
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$1
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?$1
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$1
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?$0

Top Losers

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-10
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-3
Will 'Red One' gross more than $27m on opening weekend?$-3
Will England win?$-3
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$-2
Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?$-2
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on March 31?$-1
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?$-1
Will Solana dip to $100 in June?$-1
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.111
HHI
374
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
33.7%
Half-Kelly
16.9%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 2.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.39
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)82.9%

Sessions

#12
9/20/2026, 11:04:30 AM11 trades$3,4471 min
3/23/2026, 5:01:07 PM4 trades$2,2431 min
9/21/2026, 3:07:09 PM1 trades$7680 min
6/18/2024, 6:45:09 PM2 trades$5072 min
6/16/2024, 8:19:01 PM3 trades$4752 min
11/14/2024, 3:37:23 AM5 trades$3481 min
9/20/2026, 11:04:23 PM1 trades$1550 min
1/26/2025, 9:42:08 PM3 trades$1361 min
12/11/2024, 9:11:15 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/4/2026, 8:32:46 AM10 trades$511 min
3/21/2026, 8:28:59 AM4 trades$381 min
10/6/2025, 12:52:15 PM3 trades$221 min
6/22/2025, 6:22:16 AM5 trades$132 min
3/31/2025, 11:37:12 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-18
11-14
12-11
01-26
03-31
06-22
10-06
03-21
03-23
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 494 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.3 / M2.9 / H82.9