@Dragontree
#1,168970x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc
~505d· 2184 markets · 24260 tradesVol: $14,331,7702026-08-04 15:07:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (1456/2149)18.9/20
2.53x (win $1,512,529 / loss $598,593)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90515/15
Sortino 7.87210/10
$+0.2179 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 349 (2149 markets)10/10
273/430 profitable days (63%)8.4/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($125,965 / $944,577)10/10
Badges
11Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+174,132
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 13.3 entries/market
Whale
$4,193,798 invested
Consistent
273/430 profitable days
High Roller
$7,294/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#397$127,425Vol: $9,390,465
📈 ECONOMICS#1,162$4,325Vol: $1,295,240
⚽ SPORTS#1,882,005$-40,414Vol: $1,239,651
📢 MENTIONS#21$75,383Vol: $890,999
₿ CRYPTO#7,573$6,414Vol: $447,450
💻 TECH#257,964$-1,543Vol: $403,986
💰 FINANCE#1,539$3,348Vol: $356,631
🎭 CULTURE#808,119$-539Vol: $295,687
🌤️ WEATHER#52,467$1Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$174,132
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,331,770
Total Redeem
$81,496
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2184
total markets
Trades
15759B / 8501S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~505d
Periods
#2Today
$19
Vol: $10,830
Week
$954
Vol: $53,563
Month
$3,201
Vol: $80,576
All Time
$174,132
Vol: $14,331,770
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
1456W / 693L events
Realized PnL
$174,132
Win Rate
68%
1456W / 693L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$1,039
Avg Loss
$-896
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,089,866 (6.258839859118613% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$540,298
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$497,844
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$51,724
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$33,486
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$27,281
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$26,529
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$23,049
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$20,007
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$18,420
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$11,430
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-73,423
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-49,903
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-42,230
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-40,929
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-31,762
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-30,828
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-24,188
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-16,488
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-14,451
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-14,119
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.256
HHI
621
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.152
Kelly %
28.7%
Half-Kelly
14.3%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
45.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
42.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.8
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 5.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock42 trades/day — high frequency3.8 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)48%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 9:29:18 PM102 trades$269,88616 min
6/14/2026, 9:15:52 PM194 trades$105,0806 min
4/7/2026, 10:41:49 PM85 trades$93,13028 min
4/7/2026, 10:32:51 PM82 trades$78,1884 min
6/2/2026, 5:10:08 PM1 trades$77,2330 min
6/11/2026, 7:20:06 PM67 trades$76,93317 min
6/13/2026, 4:53:18 PM73 trades$76,06610 min
6/8/2026, 1:18:58 AM35 trades$69,0170 min
6/14/2026, 10:01:30 PM21 trades$67,6553 min
4/7/2026, 11:45:41 PM5 trades$55,8144 min
6/14/2026, 6:42:19 PM53 trades$54,57817 min
6/15/2026, 3:08:01 AM3 trades$48,4670 min
6/14/2026, 11:58:34 PM10 trades$46,2041 min
5/12/2026, 4:28:51 AM17 trades$44,6731 min
10/30/2025, 7:12:15 AM128 trades$38,82677 min
3/26/2026, 8:12:41 PM8 trades$36,0285 min
6/14/2026, 9:52:37 PM16 trades$35,1514 min
6/3/2026, 9:41:01 PM3 trades$32,9451 min
3/21/2026, 12:56:01 AM44 trades$32,85049 min
6/14/2026, 10:39:01 PM11 trades$31,6656 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
04-13
07-18
10-19
01-06
04-01
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.8 / M23.2 / H48