@rollsrolls
30x2c649b504168c5414277f23135fb9ce36df72099
~59d· 17 markets · 617 trades2026-08-02 06:26:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
13% (2/15)0/20
0.23x (win $5,369 / loss $23,727)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6730/15
Sortino -6.4870/10
$-0.1554 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1908 (15 markets)3/10
1/13 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($21,783 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$118,167 invested
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-52,611
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$118,167
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
182B / 435S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
13%
2W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-52,611
Win Rate
13%
2W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$2,684
Avg Loss
$-2,157
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,369 (0.10204410575908927% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$5,143
Xi Jinping out before October?$226
Top Losers
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-14,273
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-4,220
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-2,000
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-1,461
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-948
Xi Jinping out by June 30?$-500
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-202
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?$-67
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55
US recession in 2025?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.336
Sortino
-0.306
HHI
390
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.380
Kelly %
1.7%
Half-Kelly
0.9%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
35%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)59.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)9.3%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 6:32:29 PM112 trades$107,4894 min
4/9/2026, 9:30:11 AM65 trades$22,9463 min
7/20/2026, 9:44:58 AM15 trades$21,7800 min
7/9/2026, 9:07:19 AM32 trades$17,7490 min
7/20/2026, 2:51:48 AM17 trades$17,5370 min
7/12/2026, 6:17:49 AM24 trades$17,5260 min
7/11/2026, 7:05:46 PM18 trades$17,4830 min
7/13/2026, 7:19:01 PM32 trades$17,4640 min
9/2/2025, 2:00:16 PM2 trades$10,0002 min
1/14/2026, 12:41:34 PM1 trades$8,0010 min
5/8/2026, 3:54:35 PM14 trades$5,9180 min
1/26/2026, 3:48:54 AM2 trades$5,3000 min
1/1/2026, 1:56:57 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
1/2/2026, 2:58:15 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
7/25/2025, 4:44:28 AM4 trades$4,5872 min
4/19/2026, 7:23:32 AM23 trades$4,5140 min
4/11/2026, 5:09:03 AM26 trades$4,4560 min
6/26/2026, 2:31:38 PM15 trades$4,2730 min
7/8/2025, 3:18:55 PM2 trades$4,1832 min
6/22/2026, 4:16:20 AM8 trades$4,0351 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
08-15
04-09
04-19
06-22
07-11
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.9 / M30.8 / H9.3