@selters

#102,88875

0x2d84c85f506f8e5e7652a442653e5eaaa82472da

~109d· 131 markets · 328 tradesVol: $37,2092026-08-04 16:19:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (84/124)18.9/20
1.35x (win $2,405 / loss $1,786)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.23815/15
Sortino 3.52510/10
$+0.0453 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 284 (124 markets)10/10
45/72 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($347 / $668)3.6/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+644
Consistent
45/72 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#22,485$695Vol: $26,993
🎭 CULTURE#790,734$-156Vol: $8,430
⚽ SPORTS#87,545$201Vol: $1,161
💻 TECH#247,461$-80Vol: $335
📢 MENTIONS#125,825$-9Vol: $164
💰 FINANCE#592,569$-17Vol: $77
📈 ECONOMICS#42,096$10Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$644
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,209
Total Redeem
$199
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
131
total markets
Trades
227B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $216
Month
$12
Vol: $273
All Time
$644
Vol: $37,209

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
84W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$644
Win Rate
68%
84W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $451 (0.7009800114930033% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$185
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?$153
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?$114
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$106
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$98
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?$90
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?$81
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?$76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$76
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?$75

Top Losers

Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$-222
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-200
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$-148
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$-135
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?$-99
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$-93
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$-82
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$-80
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$-73
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.116
Sortino
0.165
HHI
172
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 366s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)78.9%

Sessions

#12
2/23/2025, 6:57:58 PM1 trades$8850 min
7/21/2026, 9:55:31 AM5 trades$8620 min
4/9/2025, 3:02:39 PM1 trades$7200 min
6/18/2026, 1:33:19 AM14 trades$6746 min
3/30/2026, 10:14:34 AM2 trades$5501 min
12/28/2024, 7:45:16 AM1 trades$5080 min
4/8/2025, 10:42:57 AM1 trades$4850 min
7/31/2025, 11:21:40 PM7 trades$4748 min
1/6/2025, 9:09:01 AM4 trades$4263 min
4/2/2025, 10:01:07 AM1 trades$4000 min
10/15/2025, 12:33:53 PM5 trades$3853 min
7/31/2026, 10:05:44 PM4 trades$3740 min
8/2/2025, 8:06:08 AM1 trades$3470 min
6/30/2025, 12:35:40 PM2 trades$3402 min
8/29/2025, 1:33:41 PM2 trades$3253 min
7/22/2026, 1:46:27 PM4 trades$3010 min
8/17/2025, 1:09:10 AM4 trades$3003 min
7/22/2025, 8:51:46 PM1 trades$2960 min
3/8/2026, 7:32:59 PM2 trades$2670 min
8/19/2025, 9:49:02 AM1 trades$2630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
01-06
07-22
08-19
09-22
12-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M17.2 / H78.9