@esketids
#2,719,13470x2e314b42eff08bf0484cf2c48fe3a719dd3f4d77
~17d· 25 markets · 219 tradesVol: $12,3182026-09-29 14:01:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (3/20)0/20
0.36x (win $305 / loss $858)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.7490/15
Sortino -9.3530/10
$-0.3894 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1048 (20 markets)7.3/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 650% of peak ($653 / $100)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#114,790$30Vol: $8,229
📈 ECONOMICS#677,298$-127Vol: $3,101
🎭 CULTURE#771,278$-55Vol: $564
⚽ SPORTS#208,273$26Vol: $223
₿ CRYPTO#1,336,970$-31Vol: $201
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-158
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,318
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
83B / 136S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-28
Vol: $1,303
Month
$-108
Vol: $2,924
All Time
$-158
Vol: $12,318
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
3W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-158
Win Rate
15%
3W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-57
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $305 (1.9370323398858595% of PnL)
Top Winners
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$223
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$57
Pacers vs. 76ers$26
Top Losers
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$-221
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-126
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?$-119
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?$-100
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-80
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-60
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?$-50
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$-29
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.481
Sortino
-0.565
HHI
1119
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.397
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
64.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.15
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51.8%
Mid (20-55c)25.3%
High (>55c)22.9%
Sessions
#129/7/2026, 9:06:46 PM17 trades$5180 min
9/20/2026, 11:52:15 AM9 trades$4532 min
12/9/2024, 6:48:24 AM6 trades$4356 min
8/12/2026, 1:49:16 AM14 trades$2857 min
4/30/2026, 7:45:44 PM13 trades$2657 min
12/12/2024, 3:29:16 AM4 trades$2161 min
12/12/2024, 6:20:13 AM1 trades$2160 min
8/17/2026, 5:08:36 PM2 trades$1800 min
8/8/2026, 6:16:06 AM23 trades$1765 min
8/6/2026, 6:01:06 AM7 trades$1680 min
8/12/2026, 2:49:30 AM6 trades$1562 min
12/12/2024, 6:34:40 AM2 trades$1525 min
9/23/2026, 7:27:25 PM8 trades$1361 min
8/12/2026, 2:33:01 AM10 trades$1238 min
9/22/2026, 10:50:20 PM5 trades$1090 min
5/4/2026, 10:22:26 PM8 trades$990 min
5/4/2026, 4:40:40 PM5 trades$771 min
8/12/2026, 1:36:03 AM8 trades$660 min
12/9/2024, 10:41:48 AM1 trades$650 min
8/12/2026, 1:42:36 AM5 trades$551 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
12-12
12-16
04-30
05-01
05-04
08-12
08-18
09-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 634 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.8 / M25.3 / H22.9