GRodBets

@GRodBets

#2,738,42387

0x2e673e522bf2880877f785415387f4c16859b536

~153d· 79 markets · 1666 tradesVol: $96,6812026-08-02 05:29:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (12/20)15/20
5.72x (win $422 / loss $74)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.83915/15
Sortino 39.97910/10
$+0.1148 per $1 invested5.7/10
HHI 1197 (20 markets)6.5/10
10/12 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($48 / $348)10/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 41.0 entries/market
Consistent
10/12 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,462,222$-49Vol: $64,108
💰 FINANCE#637,176$-146Vol: $25,446
💻 TECH#14,015$18Vol: $2,650
🎭 CULTURE#744,315$-31Vol: $2,524
CRYPTO#1,324,614$-31Vol: $1,460
📈 ECONOMICS#71,366$3Vol: $259
🌤️ WEATHER#212,881$-3Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-238
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$96,681
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
1278B / 388S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $83
Week
$-29
Vol: $83
Month
$1
Vol: $403
All Time
$-238
Vol: $96,681

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
12W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-238
Win Rate
60%
12W / 8L
Profit Factor
5.72x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $266 (1.117881907963858% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$121
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$75
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?$70
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$36
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$28
Services Down Parlay$13
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$5
ECB rate hike in 2026?$5

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?$-16
Will Luis Aragón be the next President of Peru?$-10
Will Gladys Echaíz be the next President of Peru?$-10
Will José Williams be the next President of Peru?$-10
Will Marleny Portero be the next President of Peru?$-10
Will Waldemar Cerrón be the next President of Peru?$-8
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?$-8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.393
Sortino
0.907
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.027
Kelly %
32.3%
Half-Kelly
16.1%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1100s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.9%
High (>55c)15.3%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 8:05:39 PM22 trades$2405 min
4/28/2026, 10:18:08 AM31 trades$2065 min
7/6/2026, 9:20:26 PM17 trades$1682 min
6/8/2026, 9:16:19 AM5 trades$1341 min
6/1/2026, 7:54:05 AM11 trades$1153 min
6/11/2026, 8:37:10 AM7 trades$1061 min
7/28/2026, 1:14:37 PM11 trades$1002 min
6/4/2026, 8:10:42 AM5 trades$1000 min
6/6/2026, 2:18:13 PM5 trades$1001 min
6/19/2026, 7:13:32 PM12 trades$974 min
5/28/2026, 8:03:02 AM11 trades$902 min
6/6/2026, 10:56:33 AM4 trades$900 min
5/25/2026, 8:44:02 AM4 trades$750 min
5/22/2026, 9:16:57 PM3 trades$715 min
7/13/2026, 3:25:07 PM3 trades$690 min
6/6/2026, 8:57:09 PM3 trades$640 min
7/20/2026, 4:06:07 PM3 trades$610 min
6/11/2026, 8:28:36 PM13 trades$612 min
5/17/2026, 3:28:46 PM9 trades$530 min
7/25/2026, 8:19:04 PM4 trades$531 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
03-02
04-01
04-03
04-28
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.05/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.8 / M3.9 / H15.3