@CriptanTDA

#38,14861

0x2e73f6d6af7a7a7ceb28c1bce29d938128b3c4c2

~216d· 894 markets · 10633 tradesVol: $608,168 @CriptanTDA2026-08-04 21:04:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (250/808)0.5/20
1.43x (win $3,019 / loss $2,117)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.30315/15
Sortino 4.42210/10
$+0.2316 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 56 (808 markets)10/10
72/160 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($817 / $1,709)4.4/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,990
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#9,251$2,847Vol: $504,405
🎭 CULTURE#20,820$100Vol: $36,218
💻 TECH#6,539$85Vol: $21,248
💰 FINANCE#600,521$-23Vol: $12,371
SPORTS#1,498,826$-25Vol: $4,435
📈 ECONOMICS#104,340$1Vol: $1,555
CRYPTO#1,056,616$-5Vol: $1,244
📢 MENTIONS#140,657$-19Vol: $1,120
🌤️ WEATHER#178,078$-1Vol: $410

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,990
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$608,168
Total Redeem
$206
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
894
total markets
Trades
8915B / 1718S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d

Periods

#2
Today
$-50
Vol: $116
Week
$-179
Vol: $2,373
Month
$34
Vol: $2,471
All Time
$2,990
Vol: $608,168

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
250W / 558L events
Realized PnL
$2,990
Win Rate
31%
250W / 558L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $550 (0.18387436656464803% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$265
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$168
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$117
Will the US strike Cuba next?$111
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs$88
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B$86
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?$85
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?$68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?$62
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?$57

Top Losers

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-184
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-70
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$-69
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?$-64
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?$-43
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$-35
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs$-34
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs$-32
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$-32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.120
Sortino
0.191
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.261
Kelly %
3.5%
Half-Kelly
1.8%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.3m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 347s — normal for humanCV 3.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)5.6%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 10:42:23 AM32 trades$1723 min
6/15/2026, 8:33:27 AM3 trades$1173 min
4/26/2026, 6:42:52 PM15 trades$1121 min
3/1/2026, 3:38:21 AM10 trades$1040 min
5/9/2026, 12:33:24 PM11 trades$10210 min
7/31/2026, 11:17:35 AM5 trades$992 min
3/23/2026, 11:33:39 AM35 trades$913 min
5/8/2026, 5:18:43 PM14 trades$8913 min
2/11/2026, 8:45:39 PM140 trades$845 min
5/24/2026, 5:19:43 PM2 trades$830 min
2/28/2026, 7:13:37 AM11 trades$827 min
7/10/2026, 10:30:25 PM6 trades$810 min
5/5/2026, 6:58:50 PM48 trades$795 min
7/10/2026, 6:55:35 PM10 trades$731 min
5/16/2026, 11:11:20 PM4 trades$642 min
4/12/2026, 11:29:29 AM15 trades$621 min
6/4/2026, 3:20:54 PM4 trades$623 min
6/4/2026, 6:27:55 PM10 trades$599 min
5/8/2026, 7:13:08 PM4 trades$583 min
4/29/2026, 10:33:18 PM8 trades$555 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
01-30
02-27
03-29
05-04
06-07
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.85/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.2 / M2.2 / H5.6