@0x2e8F0E…4133

#2,431,7420

0x2e8f0ed021a523d7469d442a2e308851312a5a92

~18d· 27 markets · 43 tradesVol: $2,4952026-08-04 18:56:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (5/19)0/20
0.32x (win $25 / loss $77)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8850/15
Sortino -6.9670/10
$-0.2720 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2775 (19 markets)0/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($67 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#762,040$-50Vol: $1,811
🏛️ POLITICS#1,249,108$-9Vol: $654
SPORTS#1,247,356$-6Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-65
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,495
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
37B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-65
Vol: $2,495

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
5W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-65
Win Rate
26%
5W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (0.35799815781393923% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$15
Another Canada election called by June 30?$5
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$4
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0

Top Losers

US civil war before 2027?$-30
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $-20
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-14
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-2
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-2
Big Game: Coin Toss$-1
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$-1
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-1
Women's Final - USA vs. Canada$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.346
Sortino
-0.367
HHI
832
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.353
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
60.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.2m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)37.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 3:29:51 AM2 trades$470 min
1/26/2026, 4:53:39 PM1 trades$400 min
3/10/2026, 9:10:11 PM1 trades$300 min
2/5/2026, 8:24:51 PM2 trades$305 min
1/16/2026, 3:52:24 PM1 trades$210 min
1/16/2026, 4:26:42 PM1 trades$200 min
1/6/2026, 9:54:51 PM1 trades$200 min
1/13/2026, 2:06:53 AM1 trades$150 min
3/20/2026, 9:36:57 PM6 trades$156 min
1/24/2026, 8:52:14 PM1 trades$130 min
3/14/2026, 7:24:09 PM2 trades$100 min
7/14/2026, 7:10:02 PM4 trades$70 min
2/27/2026, 10:42:21 PM2 trades$60 min
3/27/2026, 2:14:33 AM5 trades$55 min
3/6/2026, 12:24:25 AM4 trades$41 min
2/8/2026, 5:28:19 PM3 trades$31 min
1/13/2026, 12:26:25 AM1 trades$20 min
2/8/2026, 11:39:43 PM1 trades$10 min
2/9/2026, 1:15:43 AM1 trades$10 min
2/10/2026, 2:41:33 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-24
02-08
02-10
02-27
03-20
04-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.16/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.3 / M37.8 / H37.8