@0x302c85…3651

#2,983,51314

0x302c85b24806969a49703b79e3a141f26afb108a

~49d· 139 markets · 405 tradesVol: $52,3202026-08-26 10:01:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (69/139)9.8/20
0.73x (win $4,251 / loss $5,832)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2490/15
Sortino -3.6250/10
$-0.1257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3498 (139 markets)0/10
22/48 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 371% of peak ($2,246 / $605)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#2,948$441Vol: $35,600
⚽ SPORTS#1,860,640$-1,609Vol: $15,982
📈 ECONOMICS#24,979$28Vol: $540
🏛️ POLITICS#1,384,270$-20Vol: $158

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,195
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,320
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
139
total markets
Trades
209B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
69W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-1,195
Win Rate
50%
69W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $662 (0.553982715491638% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on April 1?$272
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$220
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score$170
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?$139
76ers vs. Clippers$138
Rockets vs. Pacers$128
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?$128
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 30?$123
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?$123
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?$122

Top Losers

Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-800
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$-309
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$-300
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?$-250
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?$-225
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-15?$-223
Will England win on 2026-03-27?$-200
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-200
Bucks vs. Bulls$-200
76ers vs. Lakers$-183

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.168
Sortino
-0.180
HHI
180
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.124
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
53%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 846s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)53% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.1%
Mid (20-55c)46.4%
High (>55c)33.5%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 4:57:52 AM68 trades$25,0000 min
3/17/2026, 5:38:31 AM2 trades$6853 min
4/29/2026, 8:18:10 AM2 trades$6250 min
3/1/2026, 4:36:43 PM1 trades$6090 min
2/25/2026, 8:16:32 AM3 trades$5764 min
1/30/2026, 4:00:52 PM1 trades$5390 min
1/30/2026, 8:27:20 AM1 trades$5120 min
1/29/2026, 1:50:50 PM1 trades$4980 min
2/25/2026, 3:09:18 AM3 trades$4664 min
3/17/2026, 9:11:53 AM4 trades$4579 min
3/15/2026, 3:38:25 AM1 trades$4060 min
2/24/2026, 4:46:54 PM3 trades$4003 min
3/1/2026, 4:07:09 PM2 trades$4001 min
2/28/2026, 6:46:19 PM1 trades$3500 min
6/27/2026, 11:01:44 PM4 trades$3331 min
3/15/2026, 3:57:25 PM2 trades$3171 min
3/17/2026, 3:32:07 AM1 trades$3130 min
3/4/2026, 4:31:27 AM1 trades$3090 min
2/13/2026, 2:03:03 AM2 trades$3001 min
3/1/2026, 4:41:47 PM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-13
03-17
03-25
04-03
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.1 / M46.4 / H33.5