randomWalkingShrimp

@randomWalkingShrimp

#4,23494

0x30d1c420d1abde9442d6762dd6f6d5f92df04525

~630d· 1700 markets · 12892 tradesVol: $1,014,6402026-08-03 17:41:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (1244/1619)20/20
2.32x (win $72,273 / loss $31,114)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.11915/15
Sortino 8.62310/10
$+0.0853 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 47 (1619 markets)10/10
395/494 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($3,979 / $41,250)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+41,013
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$482,728 invested
Consistent
395/494 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,380$34,828Vol: $873,633
📈 ECONOMICS#1,828$2,234Vol: $45,587
🎭 CULTURE#3,562$1,688Vol: $35,111
CRYPTO#28,388$1,129Vol: $22,763
💻 TECH#2,952$323Vol: $13,326
📢 MENTIONS#2,817$353Vol: $10,703
💰 FINANCE#12,829$188Vol: $6,151
🌤️ WEATHER#245,800$-10Vol: $1,433
SPORTS#169,316$48Vol: $1,123

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40,982
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,014,640
Total Redeem
$3,485
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1700
total markets
Trades
10346B / 2546S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~630d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $25
Week
$-16
Vol: $229
Month
$107
Vol: $298
All Time
$40,982
Vol: $1,014,640

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
1244W / 375L events
Realized PnL
$41,013
Win Rate
77%
1244W / 375L
Profit Factor
2.32x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,336 (0.227629849412888% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by March 31?$5,046
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$2,549
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?$1,741
TikTok banned in 2025?$1,391
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1,220
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1,189
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,098
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? $1,085
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?$1,026
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$943

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-3,197
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,078
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$-1,307
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,052
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$-1,044
US government shutdown by October 1?$-1,035
Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?$-869
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-829
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-714
Ukraine election called in 2025?$-573

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.219
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
22.5%
Half-Kelly
11.2%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1059s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)71.9%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 2:41:47 PM10 trades$6,8460 min
4/9/2026, 3:11:25 AM5 trades$6,0270 min
2/28/2026, 7:22:35 AM31 trades$5,11729 min
6/29/2025, 6:25:09 AM2 trades$3,6074 min
12/11/2025, 11:36:46 PM1 trades$2,6400 min
6/9/2026, 1:53:09 AM6 trades$2,5784 min
2/22/2026, 7:04:06 AM1 trades$2,5500 min
5/11/2025, 11:44:58 AM10 trades$2,52813 min
7/14/2025, 3:24:48 PM5 trades$2,5032 min
5/20/2025, 10:11:45 AM6 trades$2,50010 min
7/10/2025, 12:03:08 AM1 trades$2,2160 min
2/7/2025, 1:23:36 PM6 trades$2,0767 min
2/28/2026, 7:10:11 AM7 trades$2,0566 min
5/5/2025, 11:25:53 AM3 trades$2,0500 min
8/11/2025, 3:08:42 PM8 trades$1,9576 min
7/1/2025, 6:00:47 AM2 trades$1,9061 min
12/29/2024, 1:47:26 PM6 trades$1,8658 min
3/21/2026, 4:18:59 AM2 trades$1,7871 min
4/7/2026, 2:00:15 PM7 trades$1,72710 min
10/10/2025, 1:23:12 PM5 trades$1,6999 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
02-17
05-24
09-03
12-16
03-21
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M15.9 / H71.9