@PappyB

#3,170,4026

0x316a461fc2e0d62580e366cafe5329ea91e3c449

~21d· 10 markets · 523 tradesVol: $905,2892026-10-08 01:25:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (3/9)1.7/20
0.42x (win $7,393 / loss $17,488)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7720/15
Sortino -6.8970/10
$-0.2173 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2101 (9 markets)2/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 237% of peak ($17,488 / $7,393)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#1,654,619$-10,190Vol: $904,946

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,185
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$905,289
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
456B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-184
Vol: $9,226
Week
$-543
Vol: $117,182
Month
$1,476
Vol: $342,450
All Time
$-10,185
Vol: $905,289

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
3W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-10,151
Win Rate
33%
3W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$2,464
Avg Loss
$-2,915

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,393 (0.7283676959694835% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7,387
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$5
House control after 2024 election?$1

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-8,281
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$-3,519
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-2,565
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$-2,265
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-849
Will someone else be inaugurated?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.283
Sortino
-0.417
HHI
1735
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.235
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.8%
Top-5 markets
86.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.6m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 4.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.5%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)0.4%

Sessions

#12
1/25/2026, 7:50:28 AM3 trades$7,7914 min
11/4/2024, 1:23:29 AM1 trades$5,4180 min
1/25/2026, 11:24:08 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
1/25/2026, 3:30:12 PM1 trades$4,8000 min
11/4/2024, 7:22:03 PM1 trades$4,0500 min
2/25/2026, 1:20:50 AM4 trades$3,2791 min
1/25/2026, 7:35:20 AM8 trades$3,0309 min
1/18/2026, 10:31:28 PM2 trades$2,8503 min
1/23/2026, 11:03:24 PM9 trades$2,6303 min
1/20/2026, 2:40:20 AM6 trades$2,3879 min
9/11/2026, 1:03:24 AM15 trades$2,2112 min
9/9/2026, 4:22:10 PM18 trades$1,9200 min
1/19/2026, 4:39:30 AM6 trades$1,4380 min
1/26/2026, 8:02:19 AM2 trades$1,3945 min
1/18/2026, 10:55:30 PM20 trades$1,31916 min
1/19/2026, 8:14:08 AM51 trades$1,29845 min
1/19/2026, 12:49:44 PM19 trades$1,21126 min
1/18/2026, 11:55:48 AM1 trades$1,0890 min
1/20/2026, 7:19:48 AM2 trades$1,0680 min
1/19/2026, 12:40:02 AM10 trades$1,01915 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-14
11-15
11-25
01-22
01-25
01-30
02-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 469 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.5 / M14 / H0.4