@Insider2024

#21,86160

0x319d64b1ebae82c0845aa9af481f6cf12e942538

~21d· 40 markets · 488 tradesVol: $310,6022026-09-17 00:13:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (11/31)2.7/20
2.12x (win $9,158 / loss $4,322)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.56015/15
Sortino 10.41210/10
$+0.0846 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 1256 (31 markets)6.2/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($2,857 / $7,693)6.6/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+6,141
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Whale
$57,162 invested
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#5,143$6,987Vol: $246,107
SPORTS#1,837,780$-688Vol: $62,059
🎭 CULTURE#23,764$84Vol: $2,410
💰 FINANCE#581,582$-10Vol: $27

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,374
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$310,602
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
377B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$161
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $6,455
Month
$-167
Vol: $6,863
All Time
$6,374
Vol: $310,602

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
11W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$6,141
Win Rate
35%
11W / 20L
Profit Factor
2.12x
Avg Win
$833
Avg Loss
$-240

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,343 (1.195637519417207% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$3,055
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2,995
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1,293
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$781
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$485
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$175
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$107
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?$93
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$87
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$76

Top Losers

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-1,800
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-432
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-344
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$-220
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$-204
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-200
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-186
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$-145
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$-145
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$-130

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.230
Sortino
0.469
HHI
901
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.118
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
56.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.2m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 7.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.7%
High (>55c)5.8%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 8:48:01 PM5 trades$27,8077 min
3/5/2026, 7:37:09 PM3 trades$14,0501 min
3/2/2026, 4:12:25 AM2 trades$11,0002 min
4/6/2026, 10:58:53 PM102 trades$9,4197 min
6/26/2026, 12:38:56 PM41 trades$6,4349 min
2/18/2026, 4:42:14 AM3 trades$5,8002 min
3/2/2026, 12:48:13 AM3 trades$3,9155 min
3/2/2026, 5:32:29 PM2 trades$1,1520 min
3/4/2026, 10:04:15 AM3 trades$1,0351 min
6/29/2026, 9:14:04 AM10 trades$9040 min
3/9/2026, 4:07:03 AM5 trades$8732 min
3/8/2026, 3:14:57 AM1 trades$5970 min
3/22/2026, 3:28:17 AM2 trades$5750 min
3/2/2026, 6:28:35 AM3 trades$5161 min
2/26/2026, 6:33:40 PM4 trades$4501 min
2/18/2026, 8:29:52 AM4 trades$4001 min
2/20/2026, 3:42:04 AM3 trades$3201 min
2/20/2026, 1:30:42 AM6 trades$2492 min
2/21/2026, 8:09:48 PM3 trades$2201 min
2/18/2026, 4:52:02 AM4 trades$2001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
02-21
03-02
03-04
03-06
03-22
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.5 / M2.7 / H5.8