@NateTrade

#19,09047

0x31d88b346384570775dcaee8941f35fccf36a9ce

~119d· 499 markets · 3343 tradesVol: $573,1592026-08-04 22:23:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (139/499)0/20
1.14x (win $83,471 / loss $72,979)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.02715/15
Sortino 2.99310/10
$+0.1057 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 129 (499 markets)10/10
39/104 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($8,585 / $12,619)0.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+7,172
Contrarian
99% entries < $0.55
Whale
$99,262 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#36,061$1,079Vol: $322,719
🏛️ POLITICS#7,792$3,679Vol: $194,431
🎭 CULTURE#803,159$-383Vol: $22,726
💰 FINANCE#1,113$4,853Vol: $17,771
CRYPTO#1,613,138$-882Vol: $10,427
💻 TECH#255,609$-422Vol: $2,180
📈 ECONOMICS#671,855$-281Vol: $1,861

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,172
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$573,159
Total Redeem
$8,793
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
499
total markets
Trades
2472B / 871S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
139W / 360L events
Realized PnL
$7,172
Win Rate
28%
139W / 360L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$601
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,070 (3.077037404703612% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$13,252
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$4,853
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3,964
Trump wins every swing state?$2,222
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5$1,482
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5$1,361
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$1,272
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5$1,239
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5$1,196
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5$1,138

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-2,458
FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5$-1,088
Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5$-885
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5$-862
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5$-792
Rams vs. Bears$-787
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5$-784
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-782
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5$-774
Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5$-735

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.172
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
18.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
55.5m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.92
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.5%
Mid (20-55c)72.2%
High (>55c)1.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 11:40:43 PM14 trades$7,7202 min
4/18/2026, 11:20:24 PM23 trades$4,4779 min
5/20/2024, 8:38:53 PM4 trades$4,2352 min
4/20/2026, 1:09:24 AM8 trades$3,9341 min
4/26/2026, 1:40:52 AM10 trades$3,8753 min
5/3/2026, 9:34:38 PM45 trades$3,5577 min
4/17/2026, 9:22:20 AM21 trades$3,5004 min
5/4/2026, 8:10:36 PM16 trades$3,3002 min
4/25/2026, 9:25:14 AM62 trades$3,24418 min
4/5/2026, 4:50:49 AM21 trades$2,8549 min
5/2/2026, 8:17:50 PM15 trades$2,6656 min
4/24/2026, 9:33:48 PM6 trades$2,5311 min
4/14/2026, 10:13:41 AM8 trades$2,4980 min
4/23/2026, 9:44:56 PM4 trades$2,1570 min
4/5/2026, 9:30:31 PM4 trades$2,1531 min
6/25/2024, 12:26:24 PM1 trades$2,0720 min
4/12/2026, 4:03:31 AM6 trades$2,0140 min
11/6/2024, 2:41:17 AM21 trades$1,98513 min
4/6/2026, 9:13:47 AM9 trades$1,9405 min
4/22/2026, 10:13:00 PM34 trades$1,8737 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
07-31
01-25
03-05
04-03
04-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 681 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.92/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.5 / M72.2 / H1.3