@0x31e6…0f21
40x31e69eba592ddb5b7b6f40064ca429f1d3f50f21
~147d· 282 markets · 974 trades2026-08-26 09:14:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (65/273)0/20
0.72x (win $2,562 / loss $3,541)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5040/15
Sortino -3.4010/10
$-0.1600 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1797 (273 markets)3.5/10
35/128 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 198% of peak ($1,973 / $994)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-228
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,118
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
728B / 246S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
65W / 208L events
Realized PnL
$-228
Win Rate
24%
65W / 208L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $973 (4.265687992988607% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$494
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$350
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$129
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?$114
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$113
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$112
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?$95
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$83
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$71
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$49
Top Losers
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-190
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-136
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-131
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-121
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?$-100
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$-92
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-88
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-78
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-68
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-68
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.189
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
19.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1886s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)60.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.9%
High (>55c)8%
Sessions
#125/12/2026, 11:13:21 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/8/2026, 12:31:27 AM15 trades$6661 min
4/3/2026, 12:01:53 PM2 trades$5000 min
2/28/2026, 9:34:33 AM3 trades$3453 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:55 PM1 trades$2850 min
4/1/2026, 11:43:37 AM7 trades$2306 min
2/28/2026, 10:53:21 AM2 trades$2172 min
2/28/2026, 7:37:17 PM1 trades$2100 min
6/20/2026, 8:43:41 AM4 trades$2001 min
6/11/2026, 12:36:04 PM2 trades$2000 min
8/6/2026, 6:16:54 PM4 trades$1920 min
2/28/2026, 7:14:25 PM1 trades$1800 min
4/15/2026, 11:21:38 AM10 trades$1730 min
5/6/2026, 11:27:32 AM5 trades$1500 min
3/1/2026, 2:39:25 PM21 trades$1397 min
2/28/2026, 7:34:19 AM9 trades$12915 min
6/8/2026, 11:37:27 AM4 trades$1150 min
7/22/2026, 8:03:00 AM4 trades$1151 min
6/17/2026, 3:25:37 PM9 trades$1110 min
4/6/2026, 4:28:39 PM2 trades$1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-11
01-12
02-12
03-08
04-03
06-10
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 156 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.2 / M31.9 / H8