@StudyPrediction
#6,448360x33bcb6e9bd44be709122b2940c55e34f1a7e37dc
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (2899/5382)11.9/20
1.05x (win $139,565 / loss $133,311)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1152.2/15
Sortino 0.2772.8/10
$+0.0110 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 16 (5382 markets)10/10
254/500 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($12,103 / $14,190)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+25,097
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$566,429 invested
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#272,842$-41Vol: $82,818
Overview
#1Net PnL
$25,069
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,544,978
Total Redeem
$211,143
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5417
total markets
Trades
12045B / 4064S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~681d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
69%
10170W / 4653L events
Realized PnL
$25,097
Win Rate
69%
10170W / 4653L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-55
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,434 (0.8142208058448677% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16,675
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$1,959
Kings vs. Clippers$1,800
Mexico vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?$1,058
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1,031
Guardians vs. Tigers Series Winner$944
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$940
March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?$887
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$878
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$840
Top Losers
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-4,316
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,393
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-1,681
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland$-1,328
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,284
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?$-1,018
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$-930
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-865
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-804
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$-804
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.006
Sortino
0.012
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
229.0
Very active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 892s — normal for humanCV 3.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock229 trades/day — automation7.7 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)47.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)32.5%
Sessions
#1212/7/2025, 4:31:23 PM5 trades$6,01810 min
1/21/2025, 3:28:47 AM1 trades$5,0030 min
12/8/2025, 7:08:13 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
7/12/2025, 7:26:04 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
5/17/2026, 12:46:21 AM1 trades$4,1410 min
12/7/2025, 5:00:37 PM3 trades$3,9523 min
5/16/2026, 11:13:35 PM8 trades$3,7800 min
1/21/2026, 11:20:06 PM3 trades$3,2317 min
2/22/2026, 7:24:38 PM1 trades$3,1770 min
1/18/2026, 11:25:36 PM1 trades$2,9970 min
5/18/2026, 8:44:01 PM2 trades$2,9940 min
2/9/2026, 3:29:05 AM11 trades$2,92720 min
6/14/2026, 12:04:37 AM13 trades$2,60124 min
7/11/2026, 11:52:52 PM1 trades$2,5450 min
7/20/2025, 4:57:37 PM1 trades$2,4990 min
1/18/2026, 3:56:42 PM7 trades$2,4115 min
7/10/2026, 10:24:58 AM1 trades$2,4000 min
6/17/2026, 7:46:14 PM11 trades$2,3488 min
2/8/2026, 10:36:15 PM47 trades$2,27340 min
6/15/2026, 8:31:28 AM7 trades$2,2144 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
05-17
08-11
11-08
02-05
04-30
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.2 / M20.2 / H32.5