@tgrdy

#5,94867

0x33e073440d9ac43e2e190e910f0b02b2fbd17d46

~142d· 296 markets · 16180 tradesVol: $14,873,2602026-09-20 23:34:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (173/281)15.8/20
1.37x (win $410,381 / loss $299,689)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.46415/15
Sortino 2.30510/10
$+0.0233 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 286 (281 markets)10/10
61/97 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($93,256 / $114,246)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+30,259
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 57.4 entries/market
Whale
$4,751,206 invested
Consistent
61/97 profitable days
High Roller
$15,837/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#4,918$7,427Vol: $7,219,511
📈 ECONOMICS#221$38,656Vol: $5,277,493
SPORTS#1,913,690$-39,405Vol: $1,165,024
CRYPTO#9,767$5,049Vol: $432,849
🎭 CULTURE#794$11,079Vol: $317,463
💻 TECH#903$2,032Vol: $299,822
💰 FINANCE#2,606$1,860Vol: $117,446
📢 MENTIONS#499$3,393Vol: $43,652

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,090
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,873,260
Total Redeem
$213,146
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
10355B / 5825S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~142d

Periods

#2
Today
$-583
Vol: $0
Week
$-582
Vol: $0
Month
$-724
Vol: $0
All Time
$30,090
Vol: $14,873,260

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
173W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$30,259
Win Rate
62%
173W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$2,372
Avg Loss
$-2,801

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $157,400 (5.201744662934901% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$94,856
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$36,422
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$26,123
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$18,896
Colts vs. Seahawks$16,522
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$11,672
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$11,642
Netanyahu out by March 31?$7,800
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7,719
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7,436

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-41,047
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$-25,356
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-23,124
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-19,768
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-16,861
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-14,934
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-12,311
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-11,035
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-10,640
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?$-9,508

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.078
HHI
308
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 6.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading1.0 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
57.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)33.7%
High (>55c)37.3%

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 10:48:36 AM71 trades$173,84115 min
12/9/2025, 6:05:48 PM14 trades$145,3514 min
12/8/2025, 5:44:41 PM1 trades$143,0410 min
4/5/2026, 7:29:23 AM11 trades$142,2830 min
1/3/2026, 11:33:51 AM17 trades$136,86920 min
1/14/2026, 6:19:14 PM37 trades$121,69623 min
1/3/2026, 10:32:43 AM1 trades$99,7000 min
1/1/2026, 5:19:13 PM2 trades$99,6051 min
1/13/2026, 4:10:47 PM83 trades$90,62530 min
11/24/2025, 7:32:19 AM45 trades$84,16339 min
12/1/2025, 11:57:46 AM38 trades$81,70310 min
12/1/2025, 11:49:12 AM7 trades$80,0113 min
1/14/2026, 1:38:10 PM77 trades$76,43950 min
4/9/2026, 10:38:09 AM2 trades$71,6350 min
12/19/2025, 10:51:53 PM88 trades$68,87815 min
11/21/2025, 2:18:25 PM95 trades$67,01738 min
1/17/2026, 5:24:26 PM46 trades$65,10031 min
12/10/2025, 7:43:20 PM28 trades$62,59511 min
12/10/2025, 8:15:06 PM59 trades$57,25722 min
12/2/2025, 3:11:28 PM2 trades$55,2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
11-11
12-01
12-21
01-12
02-07
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 57.39/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29 / M33.7 / H37.3