@abccbaq

#5,51840

0x343fdd2bf9272bd12cffbfe510f3969f57e36df2

~112d· 115 markets · 2200 tradesVol: $1,224,7032026-08-04 16:19:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (99/115)20/20
0.41x (win $30,875 / loss $76,079)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4440/15
Sortino -1.4690/10
$-0.0579 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 428 (115 markets)10/10
56/64 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 295% of peak ($73,476 / $24,941)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+30,495
DCA Master
Avg 23.5 entries/market
Whale
$780,081 invested
Consistent
56/64 profitable days
High Roller
$3,223/day
Win Streak
42 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#48,298$680Vol: $433,039
₿ CRYPTO#1,486$28,923Vol: $349,231
🏛️ POLITICS#14,253$1,439Vol: $248,359
📈 ECONOMICS#6,561$294Vol: $92,401
🎭 CULTURE#15,108$173Vol: $52,000
💰 FINANCE#655,908$-1,014Vol: $49,672

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,224,703
Total Redeem
$149,801
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
1964B / 236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $100
Week
$27
Vol: $553
Month
$27
Vol: $553
All Time
$30,495
Vol: $1,224,703

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
98W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$30,495
Win Rate
86%
98W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$312
Avg Loss
$-6,340

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,971 (0.7204897575314583% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$11,612
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$8,442
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$1,918
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$1,801
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?$863
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$776
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?$748
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?$600
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?$560
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$343

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-73,476
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-1,088
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-898
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-234
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?$-147
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-76
No airdrop in 2025?$-72
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
708
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
47.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 236s — normal for humanCV 4.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)74.7%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 6:00:08 PM33 trades$32,9453 min
7/9/2026, 3:25:26 PM1 trades$29,9700 min
7/19/2026, 10:52:39 PM42 trades$29,9703 min
7/22/2026, 6:14:01 PM4 trades$29,9403 min
6/16/2026, 8:59:50 PM1 trades$28,9710 min
7/5/2026, 10:01:07 PM3 trades$28,5450 min
6/26/2026, 4:01:53 AM3 trades$28,4300 min
6/19/2026, 9:08:28 PM3 trades$28,3700 min
6/14/2026, 10:49:07 PM25 trades$22,9415 min
6/12/2026, 8:28:01 PM11 trades$19,9809 min
6/17/2026, 6:12:49 AM158 trades$19,9804 min
6/11/2026, 10:19:49 AM1 trades$17,9820 min
2/28/2026, 7:40:11 AM3 trades$13,9720 min
3/18/2026, 2:03:59 PM1 trades$13,9580 min
5/16/2026, 12:09:31 PM33 trades$13,85110 min
6/1/2026, 12:12:49 PM16 trades$13,7510 min
3/31/2026, 9:48:43 AM1 trades$11,9880 min
3/31/2026, 6:13:41 PM4 trades$11,1881 min
4/25/2026, 7:40:12 PM15 trades$11,1573 min
2/13/2026, 10:28:27 AM7 trades$10,6424 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-10
02-16
04-06
05-11
06-19
07-30
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M12.8 / H74.7