@NoelGains

#2,961,3403

0x3497601f6eaf89d25c72985991100c569c8b2596

~95d· 47 markets · 779 tradesVol: $692,3782026-08-02 06:23:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (11/40)0/20
0.50x (win $900 / loss $1,806)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8690/15
Sortino -5.2290/10
$-0.0926 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1935 (40 markets)2.8/10
7/27 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($932 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,431
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$692,378
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
575B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
11W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-1,431
Win Rate
28%
11W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$-67

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $641 (0.4478863202900677% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$261
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$253
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$127
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$107
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5$67
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?$9
Nuggets vs. Hawks$5
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4

Top Losers

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets $-760
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-307
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$-140
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-108
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-87
Lakers vs. Celtics$-73
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5$-60
Warriors vs. Cavaliers$-45
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$-41
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.250
Sortino
-0.266
HHI
3047
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.101
Kelly %
9.0%
Half-Kelly
4.5%
Top-1 market
53.8%
Top-5 markets
74.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 284s — normal for humanCV 7.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)3.8%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 11:01:10 AM14 trades$4,8850 min
4/27/2026, 7:25:30 PM24 trades$1,5855 min
6/26/2026, 12:27:43 AM8 trades$1,1990 min
4/6/2026, 1:10:03 PM4 trades$8062 min
6/28/2026, 6:10:40 PM29 trades$4580 min
7/7/2026, 5:22:47 PM2 trades$4330 min
6/28/2026, 3:24:14 PM25 trades$3880 min
3/24/2026, 11:45:57 PM3 trades$3657 min
5/26/2026, 6:57:19 PM2 trades$3400 min
7/19/2026, 3:34:00 PM7 trades$2703 min
6/26/2026, 12:36:28 PM2 trades$2200 min
3/10/2026, 9:37:45 PM1 trades$2120 min
6/28/2026, 6:20:37 PM24 trades$1940 min
6/14/2026, 1:03:18 PM9 trades$1674 min
5/26/2026, 7:29:38 PM4 trades$1601 min
1/21/2026, 2:48:48 AM1 trades$1500 min
6/12/2026, 2:32:10 PM6 trades$1462 min
6/28/2026, 1:17:49 PM9 trades$1420 min
6/15/2026, 3:55:36 PM3 trades$1410 min
3/11/2026, 11:26:51 AM2 trades$1371 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-28
12-06
01-04
03-10
04-16
06-13
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.5 / M4.7 / H3.8