nogambler

@nogambler

#46,88221

0x35174f678228fe0453530cb8ab1a432c4d78dab5

~175d· 219 markets · 1186 tradesVol: $123,220 @Havoc2432026-10-05 10:54:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (94/215)6.9/20
0.55x (win $1,833 / loss $3,326)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8200/15
Sortino -1.9700/10
$-0.1553 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 239 (215 markets)10/10
55/123 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 754% of peak ($2,481 / $329)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,003
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#11,386$2,113Vol: $83,852
₿ CRYPTO#1,094,165$-7Vol: $12,719
💰 FINANCE#11,644$220Vol: $10,226
🎭 CULTURE#737,848$-22Vol: $7,906
🌤️ WEATHER#280,388$-56Vol: $4,488
⚽ SPORTS#154,217$57Vol: $3,013
📢 MENTIONS#136,516$-11Vol: $172
📈 ECONOMICS#626,188$-15Vol: $96

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,220
Total Redeem
$417
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
219
total markets
Trades
907B / 279S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~175d

Periods

#2
Today
$404
Vol: $2,211
Week
$1,199
Vol: $5,899
Month
$1,257
Vol: $13,858
All Time
$2,278
Vol: $123,220

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
94W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$1,003
Win Rate
44%
94W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $826 (0.8240369461567618% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?$466
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$237
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$124
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$85
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$60
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$58
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?$57
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?$44
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$38

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,217
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-282
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-209
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-172
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-168
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-100
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-100
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-90
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-66
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
368
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
35.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1090s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)17.3%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 1:09:24 PM3 trades$3780 min
8/17/2026, 5:45:31 PM5 trades$3252 min
6/1/2026, 12:45:57 PM1 trades$2770 min
6/3/2026, 7:39:46 AM1 trades$2760 min
8/17/2026, 5:36:42 PM1 trades$2700 min
6/1/2026, 12:54:16 PM1 trades$2520 min
6/11/2026, 1:55:57 PM1 trades$2390 min
7/30/2026, 7:48:15 AM1 trades$2320 min
6/11/2026, 7:41:45 AM1 trades$2300 min
4/9/2026, 3:33:11 PM3 trades$2043 min
8/17/2026, 12:14:42 PM1 trades$2030 min
4/8/2026, 6:30:51 PM1 trades$2020 min
7/25/2026, 4:37:49 PM2 trades$1922 min
1/10/2026, 9:18:54 PM3 trades$1884 min
5/11/2026, 4:17:36 AM3 trades$1790 min
3/28/2026, 1:46:13 PM3 trades$1733 min
4/1/2026, 7:37:41 AM5 trades$1650 min
6/1/2026, 7:56:39 AM1 trades$1520 min
8/25/2026, 2:43:09 PM1 trades$1490 min
4/30/2026, 1:32:58 PM1 trades$1490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-24
01-16
02-26
04-05
06-01
08-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 97 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.2 / M14.4 / H17.3