@baldinggoat

#124,48934

0x364b3856cc0ab866080e7f6701cf001470d4f9be

~145d· 94 markets · 20071 tradesVol: $2,244,5572026-08-02 05:20:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (44/73)15.1/20
0.63x (win $1,180 / loss $1,885)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9040/15
Sortino -4.3680/10
$-0.0163 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 568 (73 markets)9.7/10
25/38 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 1968% of peak ($776 / $39)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+423
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 115.7 entries/market
Consistent
25/38 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#61,318$423Vol: $2,244,557

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$423
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,244,557
Total Redeem
$984
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
18947B / 1124S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $30
Week
$32
Vol: $30
Month
$-53
Vol: $17,549
All Time
$423
Vol: $2,244,557

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
44W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$423
Win Rate
60%
44W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-67

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $445 (1.0507818035807077% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$241
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)$117
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)$87
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$67
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)$54
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$49
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)$49
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)$47
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)$46
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$39

Top Losers

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$-294
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$-266
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)$-193
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)$-103
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)$-100
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)$-100
Spread: Lakers (-17.5)$-92
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?$-90
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-56
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.208
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
8.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
103.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.1

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 232s — normal for humanCV 9.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock103 trades/day — automation0.5 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
115.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)19%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 4:31:32 PM107 trades$1,7403 min
4/28/2026, 1:54:34 PM1 trades$1,3690 min
4/26/2026, 2:51:34 PM35 trades$1,3228 min
7/29/2026, 11:48:20 PM10 trades$9881 min
4/28/2026, 1:04:10 PM113 trades$98116 min
4/29/2026, 6:46:18 AM4 trades$9415 min
1/22/2026, 6:43:30 PM2 trades$9010 min
4/27/2026, 10:04:12 AM22 trades$79617 min
5/18/2026, 7:27:21 AM19 trades$7500 min
7/20/2026, 1:51:52 AM17 trades$7480 min
5/20/2026, 2:33:58 AM1 trades$6800 min
5/20/2026, 2:23:22 PM4 trades$6511 min
5/3/2026, 9:20:08 AM18 trades$63028 min
6/1/2026, 5:11:29 PM192 trades$62134 min
2/5/2026, 7:39:31 AM2 trades$5891 min
2/4/2026, 6:19:09 PM1 trades$5890 min
6/1/2026, 6:50:18 PM2 trades$5680 min
1/24/2026, 4:32:54 AM3 trades$5654 min
1/31/2026, 9:34:42 PM6 trades$5621 min
5/26/2026, 2:02:10 PM7 trades$5518 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-03
02-17
02-27
03-08
03-18
04-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 115.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80 / M1 / H19