AndyFran

@AndyFran

#2,770,32491

0x371473617d3064ed904cde2df3e90ad1e0be9ce3

~157d· 222 markets · 2533 tradesVol: $429,758 @AndreaSkorcova2026-08-02 07:41:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (171/195)20/20
3.65x (win $3,748 / loss $1,027)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.96615/15
Sortino 12.40810/10
$+0.0115 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 158 (195 markets)10/10
76/89 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($537 / $2,721)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 88%
DCA Master
Avg 10.1 entries/market
Whale
$235,939 invested
Consistent
76/89 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#21,352$762Vol: $337,710
📢 MENTIONS#4,700$153Vol: $24,729
💰 FINANCE#21,392$73Vol: $23,969
CRYPTO#114,014$66Vol: $10,763
🎭 CULTURE#802,135$-369Vol: $9,038
🌤️ WEATHER#20,260$13Vol: $7,714
SPORTS#1,817,619$-819Vol: $7,623
📈 ECONOMICS#655,218$-81Vol: $3,084
💻 TECH#121,153$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$429,758
Total Redeem
$5,059
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
1936B / 597S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-899
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $960
All Time
$-289
Vol: $429,758

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
171W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-289
Win Rate
88%
171W / 24L
Profit Factor
3.65x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $838 (2.9023553862140634% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$310
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$282
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$245
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$227
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$214
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$150
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$125
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$116
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$114
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$104

Top Losers

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$-360
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?$-219
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$-121
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-59
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-48
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$-41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$-39
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$-33
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$-29
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.310
Sortino
0.292
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 486s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)87.2%

Sessions

#12
12/17/2024, 3:34:21 PM1 trades$2,6950 min
12/10/2024, 3:20:31 PM1 trades$2,6800 min
4/29/2026, 3:37:14 PM15 trades$2,5950 min
12/28/2024, 8:52:52 AM4 trades$2,4192 min
6/7/2026, 1:22:06 PM1 trades$2,3950 min
6/4/2026, 10:39:43 PM3 trades$2,3950 min
6/5/2026, 2:20:18 PM36 trades$2,39510 min
6/8/2026, 1:22:18 AM3 trades$2,3930 min
6/5/2026, 6:10:58 PM3 trades$2,3810 min
7/1/2026, 9:04:35 PM3 trades$2,1981 min
5/20/2026, 8:41:49 AM2 trades$1,9920 min
4/9/2026, 7:21:29 PM7 trades$1,9780 min
5/6/2026, 1:33:46 PM2 trades$1,8890 min
5/5/2026, 10:28:16 PM16 trades$1,83814 min
5/2/2026, 12:07:48 AM4 trades$1,8001 min
4/30/2026, 7:52:36 PM2 trades$1,7960 min
5/18/2026, 8:44:22 PM6 trades$1,70814 min
12/26/2024, 12:29:39 AM9 trades$1,6641 min
5/5/2026, 10:10:46 PM4 trades$1,6402 min
12/18/2024, 10:53:16 PM2 trades$1,6343 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
03-11
04-12
05-05
05-30
06-23
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M1 / H87.2