@formula-19

#44,16669

0x37edc446dbca3f801d5cd02b9f5d3e7123e19f94

~57d· 81 markets · 1562 tradesVol: $275,3792026-08-02 06:36:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (38/75)10.3/20
2.14x (win $2,506 / loss $1,168)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.24615/15
Sortino 19.62310/10
$+0.0211 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 1542 (75 markets)4.8/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($324 / $1,410)9.4/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,464
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$63,251 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#17,864$2,422Vol: $259,519
CRYPTO#143,719$37Vol: $15,800
🏛️ POLITICS#219,657$5Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,464
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$275,379
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
601B / 961S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-40
Vol: $0
Month
$36
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,464
Vol: $275,379

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
38W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$2,464
Win Rate
51%
38W / 37L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,050 (0.8323165162751617% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$1,385
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$524
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$142
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$83
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7?$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$31
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$19

Top Losers

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$-259
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$-224
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$-173
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-106
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$-75
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-32
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.216
Sortino
0.972
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.264
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
4.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.9%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)24.8%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 4:03:19 PM20 trades$10,8484 min
5/22/2026, 5:41:00 PM47 trades$6,5391 min
5/3/2026, 5:59:10 PM24 trades$6,3987 min
6/5/2026, 12:20:18 PM27 trades$6,1441 min
6/6/2026, 10:11:27 PM26 trades$4,96411 min
5/22/2026, 4:55:20 PM19 trades$3,9160 min
6/23/2026, 4:53:50 PM23 trades$3,3980 min
6/16/2026, 2:25:05 PM25 trades$3,3900 min
6/6/2026, 11:07:27 AM14 trades$3,1991 min
6/14/2026, 1:47:43 PM50 trades$2,9804 min
7/9/2026, 8:47:31 AM15 trades$2,8010 min
6/7/2026, 3:29:16 PM18 trades$2,7819 min
3/6/2026, 10:44:11 AM11 trades$2,6514 min
3/28/2026, 8:06:56 PM5 trades$2,6202 min
6/12/2026, 3:33:51 PM44 trades$2,5673 min
6/29/2026, 1:09:22 PM20 trades$2,2482 min
5/25/2026, 2:01:24 PM13 trades$2,1161 min
5/24/2026, 8:33:16 PM43 trades$2,1108 min
6/5/2026, 9:49:40 AM11 trades$2,0981 min
6/15/2026, 10:56:22 PM17 trades$2,0694 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-06
02-09
03-07
05-03
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.9 / M38.3 / H24.8