baiyanggaoqian

@baiyanggaoqian

#2,728,3015

0x381b87feb85472a6b7e5803dda85c9bf6882e2d3

~149d· 690 markets · 30941 tradesVol: $3,674,4472026-08-02 06:32:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (241/646)3.7/20
0.45x (win $1,118 / loss $2,479)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3740/15
Sortino -3.3330/10
$-0.0946 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3070 (646 markets)0/10
26/71 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 14992% of peak ($1,370 / $9)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,222$-687Vol: $1,681,331
📈 ECONOMICS#5,452$397Vol: $1,171,774
🎭 CULTURE#15,710$161Vol: $458,439
SPORTS#132,126$84Vol: $293,197
💰 FINANCE#560,119$-8Vol: $51,534
CRYPTO#284,364$5Vol: $8,622
🌤️ WEATHER#201,019$-2Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-224
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,674,447
Total Redeem
$1,306
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
690
total markets
Trades
29117B / 1824S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $55
Week
$6
Vol: $55
Month
$5
Vol: $2,710
All Time
$-224
Vol: $3,674,447

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
241W / 405L events
Realized PnL
$-224
Win Rate
37%
241W / 405L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $155 (0.6921396406438094% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$93
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$28
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Gamebox Festival Playoffs$24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$17
Penguins vs. Flyers$17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$16

Top Losers

Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$-618
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$-289
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-96
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$-83
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-70
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$-39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-30
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D$-26
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A$-24
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.363
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
137.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
61 min
Avg Trades / Session
93.8

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 5.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock138 trades/day — automation3.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 8:25:43 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/22/2026, 9:27:36 PM131 trades$5,01089 min
5/21/2026, 2:08:15 PM57 trades$2,59161 min
5/17/2026, 8:55:10 AM85 trades$2,52356 min
5/17/2026, 2:40:14 PM68 trades$2,35631 min
5/23/2026, 1:21:40 AM94 trades$1,72825 min
5/18/2026, 9:56:06 AM277 trades$1,292205 min
5/13/2026, 6:36:38 AM247 trades$1,194131 min
5/9/2026, 7:15:20 AM149 trades$8601 min
5/17/2026, 5:35:33 AM153 trades$855138 min
6/30/2026, 2:56:20 AM11 trades$61211 min
5/27/2026, 7:30:10 AM28 trades$60327 min
5/29/2026, 5:13:00 AM17 trades$5980 min
5/9/2026, 11:22:47 AM20 trades$52314 min
5/18/2026, 3:44:20 PM850 trades$517633 min
5/13/2026, 1:27:02 AM26 trades$5156 min
5/18/2026, 2:07:35 PM118 trades$44085 min
5/27/2026, 10:46:38 AM36 trades$42714 min
5/25/2026, 11:55:55 AM149 trades$4271 min
5/18/2026, 1:45:10 AM733 trades$355486 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
01-04
03-04
03-19
03-30
04-30
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 182 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.5 / M1.7 / H49.8