@Fantasy11

#2,628,42824

0x388e82b5a3e465c75708c6f64de8c5b8e8903381

~57d· 136 markets · 368 tradesVol: $13,497 @0xdr0p2026-10-08 03:03:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (61/113)12/20
0.46x (win $644 / loss $1,412)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1110/15
Sortino -5.0690/10
$-0.2173 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 887 (113 markets)8.1/10
19/40 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($799 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#45,372$2Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,497
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
260B / 108S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
59W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-104
Win Rate
53%
59W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $398 (3.829791326089047% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$234
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$45
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?$15
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$13
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?$12
Will Rodri join Barcelona?$10

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-380
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-307
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-213
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-62
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?$-30
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.264
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
1228
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.176
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
70.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 922s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.1%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)65.8%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 5:29:54 PM8 trades$4163 min
10/6/2026, 8:40:51 PM11 trades$2602 min
7/17/2026, 8:20:45 PM7 trades$2540 min
7/23/2026, 9:02:04 AM4 trades$2211 min
7/19/2026, 10:05:33 PM1 trades$1870 min
5/19/2026, 2:45:47 PM1 trades$1770 min
5/19/2026, 9:31:25 AM5 trades$1770 min
6/8/2026, 7:56:27 AM4 trades$1673 min
6/8/2026, 9:39:28 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/8/2026, 5:38:39 AM2 trades$940 min
5/19/2026, 7:56:38 AM5 trades$782 min
6/8/2026, 5:44:30 AM2 trades$740 min
6/8/2026, 4:52:13 PM3 trades$740 min
5/19/2026, 11:40:36 AM26 trades$7413 min
8/7/2026, 1:51:06 PM3 trades$732 min
7/13/2026, 2:27:58 PM2 trades$714 min
6/8/2026, 10:28:10 AM3 trades$614 min
5/31/2026, 9:47:51 AM2 trades$600 min
5/23/2026, 3:57:25 PM7 trades$580 min
7/21/2026, 8:46:19 AM1 trades$570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-04
05-13
05-19
06-03
06-21
06-29
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.1 / M21.2 / H65.8