@0x389D27…2715

#3,134,2798

0x389d2790cd8ead87028f68eaa7cfadb6c53f5866

~21d· 31 markets · 122 tradesVol: $839,5592026-10-07 12:18:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (10/25)5/20
0.59x (win $6,110 / loss $10,408)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3500/15
Sortino -4.8630/10
$-0.1598 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2073 (25 markets)2.1/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 244% of peak ($7,283 / $2,985)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,647,157$-3,365Vol: $839,557
💰 FINANCE#459,002$-1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,366
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$839,559
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
70B / 52S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$23,446
Vol: $138,122
Month
$-1,757
Vol: $690,166
All Time
$-3,366
Vol: $839,559

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
10W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-1,307
Win Rate
40%
10W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$611
Avg Loss
$-694

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,106 (4.6703379913264955% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$6,096
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$6
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$0
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?$0
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?$0

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-3,002
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-2,002
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?$-1,301
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-1,101
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-968
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$-882
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$-715
Will the US strike Iran next?$-423
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
334
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.322
Kelly %
29.3%
Half-Kelly
14.6%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
35.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 3.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.7%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)18.6%

Sessions

#12
9/28/2026, 1:08:59 PM11 trades$41,0840 min
3/1/2026, 9:40:53 AM1 trades$7,3480 min
3/8/2026, 12:02:29 PM4 trades$6,0000 min
9/25/2026, 7:40:24 AM9 trades$4,2010 min
9/20/2026, 5:50:16 AM10 trades$4,0040 min
1/25/2026, 4:21:42 AM2 trades$2,4371 min
9/28/2026, 12:33:56 PM6 trades$2,2583 min
1/24/2026, 6:13:32 PM2 trades$1,9891 min
3/6/2026, 12:44:13 PM1 trades$1,3000 min
2/6/2026, 8:36:15 AM1 trades$1,2500 min
1/24/2026, 5:35:42 PM1 trades$9700 min
1/29/2026, 6:13:30 PM1 trades$4000 min
1/25/2026, 3:45:08 AM1 trades$2850 min
1/31/2026, 4:23:42 PM1 trades$2590 min
7/18/2026, 6:45:03 PM2 trades$2000 min
9/26/2026, 6:06:59 PM2 trades$600 min
9/25/2026, 8:11:32 AM6 trades$402 min
9/25/2026, 7:58:17 AM2 trades$270 min
1/29/2026, 6:57:16 PM1 trades$230 min
9/27/2026, 7:38:14 PM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
01-29
01-31
02-25
03-01
03-02
03-06
03-08
03-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.7 / M35.7 / H18.6