matanovik

@matanovik

#12453

0x39d3c773be30fcc73161fc6768f46d563a779ef0

~173d· 1636 markets · 37411 tradesVol: $41,244,7082026-08-01 15:40:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (675/1633)5.7/20
1.10x (win $8,807,993 / loss $8,039,410)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32315/15
Sortino 2.26210/10
$+0.0557 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 25 (1633 markets)10/10
82/172 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($532,005 / $818,647)1/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,409,907
Contrarian
83% entries < $0.55
Whale
$13,792,883 invested
High Roller
$73,759/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#80$1,448,959Vol: $40,210,582
🏛️ POLITICS#16,753$1,115Vol: $31,683
🎭 CULTURE#79,320$7Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,386,699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,244,708
Total Redeem
$1,073,160
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1636
total markets
Trades
29849B / 7562S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$-24,361
Vol: $112,887
Week
$-9,023
Vol: $366,347
Month
$-24,361
Vol: $112,887
All Time
$1,386,699
Vol: $41,244,708

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
675W / 956L events
Realized PnL
$1,409,907
Win Rate
41%
675W / 956L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$13,049
Avg Loss
$-8,507

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $525,848 (0.3729663418279674% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$202,772
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$174,049
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$149,027
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?$148,379
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$146,892
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$145,676
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$136,892
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$133,627
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$132,354
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$127,821

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$-149,384
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-117,678
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-101,513
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?$-95,637
Knicks vs. Spurs$-94,904
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-92,851
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$-80,099
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$-80,042
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-78,574
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?$-78,525

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.069
Sortino
0.111
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
200.1
Very active
Markets / Day
8.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.5m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
62.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 3.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock200 trades/day — automation8.7 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)79.6%
High (>55c)16.8%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 2:32:16 PM57 trades$156,38631 min
5/13/2026, 4:26:53 PM144 trades$102,18531 min
5/19/2026, 8:45:07 PM4 trades$96,3530 min
5/15/2026, 6:02:42 PM72 trades$95,85330 min
3/17/2026, 7:36:17 PM12 trades$92,01724 min
5/11/2026, 6:07:16 PM19 trades$90,92116 min
5/9/2026, 3:27:44 PM28 trades$87,25320 min
5/10/2026, 6:01:08 PM27 trades$86,1003 min
6/28/2026, 1:45:23 AM162 trades$84,61310 min
5/9/2026, 10:27:03 PM40 trades$81,87210 min
7/1/2026, 7:09:35 PM14 trades$80,4363 min
6/16/2026, 6:28:52 PM10 trades$80,2128 min
4/13/2026, 6:55:13 PM13 trades$79,8054 min
7/9/2026, 6:01:47 PM204 trades$76,07964 min
5/8/2026, 6:29:43 PM88 trades$74,53913 min
5/12/2026, 2:20:59 AM19 trades$73,98722 min
4/26/2026, 6:11:00 PM174 trades$73,80250 min
6/18/2026, 3:52:52 PM26 trades$72,2603 min
5/17/2026, 9:53:54 AM21 trades$71,6326 min
5/9/2026, 12:31:35 PM62 trades$71,06936 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-26
03-26
04-25
05-23
06-22
07-29
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.82/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.6 / M79.6 / H16.8