@Moldevort

#2,653,0404

0x3a12a3cfa201216af48b42667c9885769a955636

~14d· 27 markets · 112 tradesVol: $11,5822026-08-24 06:42:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (9/27)1.7/20
0.43x (win $152 / loss $355)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.6060/15
Sortino -9.9240/10
$-0.2996 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5408 (27 markets)0/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($204 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,346,523$-16Vol: $8,336
₿ CRYPTO#1,468,026$-86Vol: $2,007
⚽ SPORTS#357,401$4Vol: $1,027
💻 TECH#241,600$-21Vol: $154
🎭 CULTURE#706,864$-12Vol: $58

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,582
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
42B / 70S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
9W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-131
Win Rate
33%
9W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $138 (1.0525471626059726% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$24
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$4
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?$3
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$2
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$0
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-200
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?$-57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-11
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$-11
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?$-11
TikTok banned in 2025?$-10
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?$-3
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.576
Sortino
-0.508
HHI
1017
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.300
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
62.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 177s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.2%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 5:30:10 AM5 trades$3,1060 min
5/20/2025, 5:35:59 AM4 trades$1974 min
4/28/2026, 1:34:40 PM12 trades$1572 min
4/28/2026, 12:58:20 PM11 trades$1540 min
5/23/2025, 3:24:47 AM1 trades$1220 min
5/24/2025, 2:24:55 PM1 trades$1190 min
4/28/2026, 1:17:28 PM12 trades$742 min
4/29/2026, 4:24:26 PM9 trades$630 min
5/21/2025, 1:29:43 PM1 trades$530 min
5/20/2025, 6:31:35 PM1 trades$530 min
7/14/2026, 10:15:14 PM17 trades$399 min
1/18/2025, 4:22:16 PM3 trades$322 min
4/13/2025, 6:53:33 PM7 trades$237 min
4/28/2026, 1:29:02 PM6 trades$220 min
4/13/2025, 9:54:45 PM2 trades$193 min
4/4/2025, 12:50:17 PM1 trades$120 min
4/29/2026, 4:09:48 PM3 trades$120 min
4/28/2026, 2:09:38 PM3 trades$110 min
1/22/2025, 12:09:43 PM2 trades$111 min
1/24/2025, 2:28:09 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
01-22
01-24
04-13
05-20
05-21
05-24
04-28
04-29
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.2 / M28.6 / H45.2