lucio88

@lucio88

#3,149,55439

0x3a55b0c45449b955e43ec10734bd988bb5d1394e

~221d· 871 markets · 14411 tradesVol: $9,248,3042026-09-19 13:09:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (687/868)20/20
0.75x (win $477,898 / loss $634,870)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3620/15
Sortino -1.5230/10
$-0.0486 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 105 (868 markets)10/10
136/201 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 760% of peak ($180,760 / $23,789)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 20.9 entries/market
Whale
$3,232,513 invested
Consistent
136/201 profitable days
High Roller
$4,398/day
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,913,235$-84,343Vol: $8,064,983
🏛️ POLITICS#1,651,055$-3,621Vol: $464,997
CRYPTO#1,723,833$-16,768Vol: $290,810
📢 MENTIONS#180,806$-3,752Vol: $113,702
🎭 CULTURE#7,089$630Vol: $83,811
💰 FINANCE#111,466$2Vol: $1,986
💻 TECH#10,879$35Vol: $1,151

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-115,601
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,248,304
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
871
total markets
Trades
10183B / 4228S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~221d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,040
Vol: $0
Week
$-652
Vol: $113,344
Month
$-16,030
Vol: $191,107
All Time
$-115,601
Vol: $9,248,304

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
687W / 181L events
Realized PnL
$-114,531
Win Rate
79%
687W / 181L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$696
Avg Loss
$-3,587

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $93,074 (0.8126524753736529% of PnL)

Top Winners

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$42,084
Brisbane International: Reilly Opelka vs Joao Fonseca$28,326
Celtics vs. Nuggets$22,664
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor$15,687
Australian Open Men's: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur$13,759
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$13,669
Miami vs. Ole Miss$8,622
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$7,938
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys$7,605
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$7,465

Top Losers

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$-109,028
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Baghdasaryan (Featherweight, Prelims)$-41,660
UFC 323: Blachowicz vs. Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-30,979
Sonego vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$-26,781
UFC 325: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Aaron Tau (Flyweight, Early Prelims)$-22,916
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Cazaux vs Jaime Faria$-19,733
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-17,502
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$-14,540
Celtics vs. Warriors$-13,600
Pistons vs. Knicks$-11,600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
85
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.5m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 4.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.93
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.4%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)29.9%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 3:40:51 AM29 trades$106,7220 min
3/5/2026, 9:26:33 AM12 trades$88,6516 min
2/28/2026, 1:58:39 PM19 trades$81,50920 min
2/10/2025, 2:35:28 AM14 trades$78,1897 min
2/6/2026, 2:16:03 AM15 trades$64,54713 min
2/2/2026, 9:34:12 PM8 trades$59,8879 min
2/1/2026, 11:18:02 AM82 trades$54,16553 min
2/28/2026, 12:47:15 PM213 trades$53,94065 min
2/11/2026, 10:01:49 AM106 trades$52,92595 min
12/29/2025, 1:11:11 AM16 trades$48,71718 min
1/31/2026, 9:20:58 PM4 trades$42,0606 min
1/4/2026, 5:44:33 AM47 trades$41,10719 min
12/10/2025, 10:01:02 AM2 trades$32,9122 min
12/29/2025, 1:52:03 AM17 trades$31,11031 min
2/11/2026, 3:23:11 AM62 trades$26,0709 min
2/15/2025, 3:51:43 AM5 trades$24,8424 min
12/7/2025, 4:13:01 AM13 trades$24,69516 min
2/10/2025, 8:38:39 AM6 trades$24,5758 min
2/14/2026, 8:12:39 AM27 trades$24,24630 min
1/18/2026, 2:15:06 AM7 trades$24,1045 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-14
11-15
12-21
11-04
12-15
01-23
09-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 619 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.93/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.4 / M38.7 / H29.9