@TheReturnOfDarthMaul

#3,134,76828

0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699

~204d· 1120 markets · 22671 tradesVol: $22,618,0992026-09-10 16:14:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (593/1056)13.1/20
0.26x (win $915,382 / loss $3,583,357)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7020/15
Sortino -1.7020/10
$-0.2212 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1328 (1056 markets)5.9/10
81/126 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 4102% of peak ($2,734,640 / $66,666)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 18.9 entries/market
Whale
$12,061,616 invested
Consistent
81/126 profitable days
High Roller
$58,269/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#64$107,090Vol: $15,272,800
SPORTS#1,906,791$-44,202Vol: $2,911,791
🏛️ POLITICS#1,657,574$-149,828Vol: $2,837,477
💰 FINANCE#668,234$-100,084Vol: $1,026,165
CRYPTO#8,028$6,191Vol: $323,218
🎭 CULTURE#4,979$1,056Vol: $128,989
📢 MENTIONS#177,875$-698Vol: $104,899
💻 TECH#3,307$295Vol: $8,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-179,513
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,618,099
Total Redeem
$148,458
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1120
total markets
Trades
14980B / 7691S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~204d

Periods

#2
Today
$249,300
Vol: $43,359
Week
$316,298
Vol: $231,461
Month
$219,768
Vol: $476,153
All Time
$-179,513
Vol: $22,618,099

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
593W / 463L events
Realized PnL
$-476,729
Win Rate
56%
593W / 463L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$1,544
Avg Loss
$-7,928

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $350,506 (0.7352312412711177% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$189,965
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86,703
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$73,839
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$47,600
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$36,674
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$35,972
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$28,005
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$24,868
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$23,054
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$22,814

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,678,907
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,006,066
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-93,487
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-76,410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-72,507
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-69,356
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-62,998
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-58,625
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-53,556
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-44,521

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.089
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
274
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.280
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
109.5
Very active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.7m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
14.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 14.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock110 trades/day — automation5.4 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.88
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)70.7%

Sessions

#12
8/21/2026, 6:02:30 PM20 trades$1,000,4940 min
8/20/2026, 5:51:09 PM67 trades$820,01611 min
7/3/2026, 4:28:53 PM58 trades$496,7780 min
6/29/2026, 12:44:08 AM77 trades$333,3916 min
7/29/2026, 11:21:35 AM7 trades$275,6990 min
7/6/2026, 11:22:11 AM58 trades$269,6350 min
7/21/2026, 1:24:37 PM81 trades$239,72314 min
7/1/2026, 1:05:34 PM63 trades$209,3331 min
7/6/2026, 2:31:44 PM44 trades$203,47111 min
8/19/2026, 6:09:46 PM11 trades$200,0640 min
4/11/2026, 10:35:41 PM6 trades$200,0240 min
4/29/2026, 5:41:28 PM4 trades$200,0200 min
7/27/2026, 8:20:39 PM29 trades$146,2385 min
7/6/2026, 9:14:41 PM30 trades$133,5763 min
7/2/2026, 4:42:32 PM59 trades$130,34810 min
6/29/2026, 3:57:19 PM60 trades$116,89527 min
7/13/2026, 6:14:10 PM10 trades$116,2370 min
7/31/2026, 8:45:30 PM325 trades$115,95817 min
7/29/2026, 1:49:45 PM35 trades$111,91210 min
8/4/2026, 2:40:27 PM26 trades$106,2128 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-05
03-28
04-26
05-18
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M14.9 / H70.7