@Johnsansculotte
#3,048,655190x3afef976a5d031b351da42c0ad0ff1f13c1d01d4
~244d· 90 markets · 3730 tradesVol: $469,2872026-08-04 20:40:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (33/73)7.6/20
0.27x (win $4,912 / loss $17,980)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5260/15
Sortino -3.6540/10
$-0.1440 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1112 (73 markets)6.9/10
24/51 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 447% of peak ($16,834 / $3,767)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 28.5 entries/market
Whale
$90,735 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,584,922$-342Vol: $301,713
⚽ SPORTS#1,861,934$-2,691Vol: $88,088
📈 ECONOMICS#681,631$-3,075Vol: $76,633
💰 FINANCE#30,763$36Vol: $1,555
🎭 CULTURE#91,154$5Vol: $680
₿ CRYPTO#1,441,184$-79Vol: $579
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$469,287
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
1721B / 2009S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~244d
Periods
#2Today
$403
Vol: $8,620
Week
$360
Vol: $11,775
Month
$38
Vol: $11,775
All Time
$-6,139
Vol: $469,287
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
33W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-6,139
Win Rate
45%
33W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$149
Avg Loss
$-499
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,202 (0.6844678854849428% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,019
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$869
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?$315
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$274
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$70
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?$52
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$36
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$27
Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?$25
Top Losers
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,521
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$-3,622
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$-3,196
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$-948
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$-880
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-403
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$-400
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-302
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$-300
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-234
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.183
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
198
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.307
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
28.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 550s — normal for humanCV 2.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)38.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.6%
High (>55c)36.8%
Sessions
#128/4/2026, 1:07:30 PM3 trades$4,7280 min
5/18/2026, 3:04:43 PM19 trades$4,1762 min
5/19/2026, 7:42:22 PM6 trades$3,1820 min
7/2/2026, 12:11:31 PM26 trades$3,0631 min
5/19/2026, 3:40:42 PM11 trades$2,4324 min
8/4/2026, 1:26:33 PM2 trades$2,1730 min
5/14/2026, 1:47:55 PM17 trades$2,1545 min
5/18/2026, 6:20:01 PM5 trades$2,1261 min
4/9/2026, 1:29:09 PM6 trades$1,9938 min
6/13/2026, 10:43:40 PM2 trades$1,9800 min
8/3/2026, 2:02:38 PM5 trades$1,9500 min
3/4/2026, 12:38:45 PM1 trades$1,8670 min
3/4/2026, 1:24:13 PM4 trades$1,7825 min
7/21/2026, 5:42:01 PM7 trades$1,7331 min
5/21/2026, 1:07:59 PM46 trades$1,6999 min
11/1/2024, 5:29:50 AM3 trades$1,5868 min
10/8/2024, 9:01:15 AM2 trades$1,5773 min
2/21/2025, 12:47:22 PM1 trades$1,5400 min
5/22/2026, 2:48:57 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
6/30/2026, 2:38:55 PM22 trades$1,4146 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
01-15
06-24
12-10
03-23
06-01
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 618 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.48/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.6 / M24.6 / H36.8