@eightpenguins
840x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766
~295d· 568 markets · 11230 trades2026-08-02 05:18:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (295/539)12.4/20
1.95x (win $810,569 / loss $415,499)14.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.56515/15
Sortino 4.48310/10
$+0.1598 per $1 invested8/10
HHI 272 (539 markets)10/10
117/213 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($131,243 / $463,168)8.3/10
Badges
9Profitable
PnL $+356,964
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 18.4 entries/market
Whale
$2,471,781 invested
High Roller
$7,249/day
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#232$213,684Vol: $4,672,585
🎭 CULTURE#183$40,458Vol: $484,136
💰 FINANCE#103$38,078Vol: $362,731
📈 ECONOMICS#560$11,435Vol: $329,720
📢 MENTIONS#38$47,643Vol: $284,196
₿ CRYPTO#1,906$22,654Vol: $154,625
🌤️ WEATHER#297,702$-1,529Vol: $100,747
💻 TECH#565$3,103Vol: $93,749
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,617$-23,559Vol: $85,824
Overview
#1Net PnL
$356,964
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,471,781
Total Redeem
$38,739
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
568
total markets
Trades
8068B / 3162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~295d
Periods
#2Today
$11,014
Vol: $16,379
Week
$-13,553
Vol: $16,379
Month
$12,256
Vol: $68,812
All Time
$356,964
Vol: $0
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
295W / 244L events
Realized PnL
$356,964
Win Rate
55%
295W / 244L
Profit Factor
1.95x
Avg Win
$2,748
Avg Loss
$-1,710
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $335,553 (0.9400191420104378% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$184,548
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$97,911
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$53,093
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$24,678
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$22,884
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$17,198
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$16,634
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$16,033
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$13,865
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$11,764
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-77,125
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-61,300
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-21,857
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$-15,379
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-14,430
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$-13,198
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-10,852
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-8,588
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-8,445
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-7,335
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.164
HHI
227
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.187
Kelly %
4.6%
Half-Kelly
2.3%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
26.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.7
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 7.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)45.2%
High (>55c)36.7%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 7:15:13 PM4 trades$146,3100 min
4/30/2026, 7:53:26 PM1 trades$66,4660 min
7/20/2026, 7:40:00 AM23 trades$64,1792 min
6/2/2026, 5:14:15 PM1 trades$55,1110 min
2/12/2026, 10:14:17 PM16 trades$50,11816 min
5/15/2026, 5:21:52 PM5 trades$50,0501 min
4/12/2026, 12:57:11 PM14 trades$49,9541 min
12/24/2025, 12:56:37 PM3 trades$46,6792 min
6/15/2026, 4:39:00 AM7 trades$46,0215 min
4/1/2026, 6:18:03 AM2 trades$43,8334 min
7/11/2026, 11:38:53 PM21 trades$41,6230 min
6/15/2026, 3:08:09 AM11 trades$41,48114 min
6/19/2026, 12:50:49 PM27 trades$39,5867 min
6/2/2026, 4:30:53 PM7 trades$36,8830 min
5/7/2026, 8:41:39 PM22 trades$32,5945 min
4/17/2026, 12:48:56 PM59 trades$32,3789 min
6/1/2026, 6:56:42 PM26 trades$32,29624 min
2/13/2026, 5:36:33 AM1 trades$30,7560 min
7/24/2026, 2:47:58 PM154 trades$29,79660 min
4/1/2026, 5:03:25 AM11 trades$29,79222 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-27
10-13
12-03
01-21
03-22
05-29
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.39/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18 / M45.2 / H36.7