@Vilgefortz
830x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7
~541d· 338 markets · 14327 trades2026-08-02 06:38:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (247/330)20/20
1.75x (win $546,901 / loss $312,344)11.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.15615/15
Sortino 4.21610/10
$+0.0308 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 246 (330 markets)10/10
151/209 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($114,522 / $236,976)4.3/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 39.8 entries/market
Whale
$7,605,307 invested
Consistent
151/209 profitable days
High Roller
$9,738/day
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-55,836
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,605,307
Total Redeem
$560
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
338
total markets
Trades
9423B / 4904S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~541d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
247W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-55,836
Win Rate
75%
247W / 83L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$2,214
Avg Loss
$-4,004
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $157,254 (2.816340200314204% of PnL)
Top Winners
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$98,737
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$32,989
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$25,527
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?$23,596
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$21,737
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$21,197
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$19,330
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$16,266
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$15,234
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$14,564
Top Losers
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-31,071
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$-27,242
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$-25,266
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?$-24,337
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$-18,647
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?$-15,933
US-China trade deal before June?$-13,560
US military action against Iran by Sunday?$-12,337
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$-12,285
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$-12,130
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.113
Sortino
0.132
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
12.3%
Half-Kelly
6.1%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
21.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
18.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 3.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
39.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)68.4%
Sessions
#125/6/2026, 10:18:58 AM139 trades$243,7017 min
4/22/2026, 9:26:20 AM27 trades$233,1179 min
2/1/2026, 4:46:00 PM9 trades$193,8755 min
4/6/2026, 4:21:07 PM152 trades$134,73823 min
2/6/2026, 4:06:39 PM5 trades$131,9802 min
2/5/2026, 4:49:19 PM1 trades$126,6850 min
2/5/2026, 3:08:47 PM3 trades$126,6791 min
5/1/2026, 7:10:28 PM49 trades$120,58014 min
3/11/2026, 8:55:29 PM2 trades$107,0050 min
9/5/2025, 12:31:54 PM25 trades$99,88511 min
3/30/2026, 6:58:58 AM17 trades$87,16515 min
4/1/2026, 3:26:11 PM34 trades$85,0280 min
4/3/2026, 7:28:43 PM44 trades$80,7413 min
5/3/2026, 4:12:26 PM12 trades$75,0631 min
4/1/2026, 11:43:49 AM10 trades$69,6870 min
7/3/2025, 9:45:31 AM14 trades$69,27614 min
1/5/2025, 4:06:45 AM7 trades$66,4466 min
1/30/2026, 3:29:08 AM35 trades$64,14412 min
11/20/2024, 3:44:55 AM2 trades$63,7660 min
1/8/2026, 1:49:46 PM26 trades$63,48014 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
01-10
03-24
07-02
12-17
03-18
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 112 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 39.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M10.1 / H68.4