@okada

#24,70174

0x3cb1a3631e49257e311d40051066ab074c765e96

~73d· 125 markets · 834 tradesVol: $296,0232026-09-21 01:06:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (91/117)20/20
1.31x (win $22,565 / loss $17,162)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.28515/15
Sortino 3.27010/10
$+0.0490 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 187 (117 markets)10/10
42/57 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($4,240 / $5,403)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+3,892
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Whale
$110,166 invested
Consistent
42/57 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#6,547$4,944Vol: $185,824
SPORTS#39,090$1,008Vol: $64,412
💰 FINANCE#663,480$-705Vol: $23,790
📈 ECONOMICS#677,083$-128Vol: $10,496
💻 TECH#4,029$219Vol: $6,720
🎭 CULTURE#18,792$123Vol: $4,781

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,462
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$296,023
Total Redeem
$5,359
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
261B / 573S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $845
Month
$1,553
Vol: $13,428
All Time
$5,462
Vol: $296,023

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
90W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$3,892
Win Rate
77%
90W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$248
Avg Loss
$-817

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,639 (2.733740505873768% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,420
US government shutdown Saturday?$1,273
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$946
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$462
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$418
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$398
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$397
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$371
Seahawks vs. Patriots$370
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$360

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,806
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-2,609
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$-2,517
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,449
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$-1,107
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-839
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$-757
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-643
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$-527
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-471

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.119
Sortino
0.110
HHI
179
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
31.2%
Half-Kelly
15.6%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)5%
High (>55c)85.8%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 1:41:13 PM18 trades$12,6794 min
4/1/2026, 12:51:59 PM38 trades$9,7867 min
6/16/2026, 2:49:40 PM25 trades$8,8374 min
5/27/2026, 12:24:05 PM73 trades$8,14918 min
8/26/2026, 2:40:39 PM2 trades$6,0000 min
3/30/2026, 11:32:51 PM4 trades$5,0264 min
5/4/2026, 1:28:16 PM27 trades$4,8316 min
6/1/2026, 1:58:07 PM32 trades$4,63911 min
4/16/2026, 12:54:56 PM47 trades$4,4826 min
4/10/2026, 3:09:49 PM11 trades$3,2790 min
1/6/2026, 10:27:03 PM2 trades$3,2650 min
6/16/2026, 12:59:24 PM23 trades$3,2502 min
1/5/2026, 2:04:53 PM3 trades$3,2414 min
3/26/2026, 3:13:49 PM2 trades$2,7430 min
3/27/2026, 9:48:31 PM4 trades$2,6632 min
2/2/2026, 8:35:44 PM4 trades$2,5526 min
5/14/2026, 1:35:22 PM21 trades$2,5053 min
2/1/2026, 2:17:08 PM2 trades$2,5001 min
2/28/2026, 7:42:47 PM2 trades$2,4622 min
3/7/2026, 8:52:57 PM4 trades$2,3938 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
02-13
03-19
04-10
05-04
05-20
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M5 / H85.8