@roldy

#3,071,62645

0x3e04fbc51adb75418129f6ce2091ae633070564d

~533d· 3546 markets · 76654 tradesVol: $25,468,1912026-08-05 01:19:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (1808/3543)10.5/20
1.03x (win $3,658,683 / loss $3,551,536)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4768.9/15
Sortino 0.7407.4/10
$+0.0110 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 9 (3543 markets)10/10
244/500 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($176,059 / $182,998)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 21.9 entries/market
Whale
$9,741,802 invested
High Roller
$16,972/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,882,344$-39,059Vol: $25,432,048
🎭 CULTURE#813,323$-1,752Vol: $25,285
🏛️ POLITICS#1,507,418$-87Vol: $2,907

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-42,439
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,468,191
Total Redeem
$477,106
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3546
total markets
Trades
66471B / 10183S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~533d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,935
Vol: $0
Week
$-5,946
Vol: $83,982
Month
$-14,661
Vol: $93,916
All Time
$-42,439
Vol: $25,468,191

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
1808W / 1735L events
Realized PnL
$-42,439
Win Rate
51%
1808W / 1735L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$2,024
Avg Loss
$-2,077

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115,389 (2.7189695307542463% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$67,549
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$24,600
Capitals vs. Penguins$23,240
Stars vs. Sabres$22,794
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens $22,336
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$20,234
Canadiens vs. Lightning$19,320
Islanders vs. Lightning$18,629
Ducks vs. Predators$14,800
Stars vs. Wild$14,785

Top Losers

Ducks vs. Golden Knights$-24,060
Canadiens vs. Sabres$-20,151
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-18,002
Ducks vs. Wild$-17,100
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-16,144
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-11,700
Twins vs. Tigers$-10,893
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5$-10,288
NHL Playoffs: Stars vs. Avalanche (To Advance)$-10,258
Red Wings vs. Panthers$-10,229

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.039
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
133.5
Very active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.3m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
29 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock134 trades/day — automation6.2 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.87
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)68.1%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2026, 3:20:13 PM234 trades$50,556138 min
4/15/2026, 2:38:52 PM94 trades$41,4631 min
4/13/2026, 2:52:49 PM99 trades$40,21564 min
4/15/2026, 2:26:30 PM70 trades$38,2467 min
1/12/2026, 4:40:15 PM89 trades$35,85180 min
2/3/2026, 3:03:30 PM35 trades$30,41822 min
4/11/2026, 4:07:35 PM65 trades$30,28821 min
11/28/2025, 7:50:59 PM3 trades$27,2698 min
1/17/2026, 3:57:32 PM51 trades$24,29817 min
10/10/2025, 2:11:20 PM4 trades$23,8756 min
1/10/2026, 12:30:54 AM17 trades$23,8716 min
1/29/2026, 10:07:48 PM63 trades$23,08458 min
1/23/2026, 1:30:14 AM22 trades$22,9273 min
1/19/2026, 7:36:02 PM49 trades$22,65756 min
11/26/2025, 4:49:17 PM10 trades$22,49613 min
6/4/2025, 11:54:36 AM20 trades$22,17210 min
12/30/2025, 4:21:47 PM3 trades$21,6465 min
1/8/2026, 2:47:38 PM13 trades$20,43912 min
4/16/2026, 3:40:08 PM16 trades$20,0001 min
4/15/2026, 3:31:12 PM43 trades$19,9140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-03
04-29
07-27
10-20
01-11
04-05
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.87/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.6 / M68.1 / H28.3