@alexanderthomp

#2,704,6273

0x3e2f9e2f098add9d10e65d50ffa2f9cff04d9d85

~10d· 7 markets · 14 tradesVol: $1,5002026-08-26 09:13:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (2/6)1.7/20
0.08x (win $15 / loss $174)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2410 (6 markets)0.4/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($170 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-167
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,500
Total Redeem
$117
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
12B / 2S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
2W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-167
Win Rate
33%
2W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (0.0877508235998802% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$8
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?$7

Top Losers

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-140
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$-30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.464
Sortino
-0.368
HHI
768
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.374
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
53.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.83
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)75%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 8:02:24 AM2 trades$2000 min
3/5/2026, 10:00:47 AM1 trades$1820 min
12/27/2025, 1:40:31 PM1 trades$1340 min
12/28/2025, 3:29:25 AM1 trades$1170 min
2/27/2026, 12:41:57 PM3 trades$1090 min
12/25/2025, 4:58:27 PM1 trades$300 min
1/17/2026, 4:51:06 AM1 trades$240 min
1/22/2026, 3:17:20 PM1 trades$240 min
12/27/2025, 10:43:21 AM1 trades$60 min
2/10/2026, 2:38:51 PM1 trades$40 min
1/15/2026, 5:33:24 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
12-27
12-28
01-22
02-10
02-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M0 / H75