@m00n

#6,57241

0x3f02a8b650d4b30449e83616f2165460209ca51c

~438d· 195 markets · 20610 tradesVol: $15,357,9052026-09-21 01:13:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (121/186)17.5/20
1.02x (win $90,506 / loss $88,944)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0531/15
Sortino 0.0750.7/10
$+0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 554 (186 markets)9.7/10
83/126 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 191% of peak ($35,980 / $18,804)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+23,831
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 132.3 entries/market
Whale
$2,927,892 invested
Consistent
83/126 profitable days
High Roller
$3,158/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#456$17,000Vol: $9,989,417
🏛️ POLITICS#5,574$6,325Vol: $4,625,114
SPORTS#39,688$983Vol: $336,961
CRYPTO#44,831$489Vol: $217,373
🎭 CULTURE#3,131$2,073Vol: $144,834
📢 MENTIONS#177,284$-459Vol: $38,102
💻 TECH#101,365$0Vol: $1,643

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$26,411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,357,905
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
11792B / 8818S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~438d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$606
Vol: $0
Month
$2,204
Vol: $1,306,989
All Time
$26,411
Vol: $15,357,905

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
121W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$23,831
Win Rate
65%
121W / 65L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$748
Avg Loss
$-1,534

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58,717 (2.4638410561567956% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$24,350
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$18,739
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$15,628
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$8,593
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3,224
CZ jail before March?$2,632
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$1,993
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1,481
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,470
Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)$1,316

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-25,394
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-15,572
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,460
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-11,828
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-9,865
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-3,337
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,979
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-1,848
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-1,633
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,515

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.002
HHI
730
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
51.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.9m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 3.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
132.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)45.1%

Sessions

#12
11/1/2024, 8:34:40 AM285 trades$56,54135 min
5/16/2026, 1:42:58 PM70 trades$52,89011 min
11/6/2024, 10:07:23 AM42 trades$48,62211 min
4/28/2026, 5:47:26 PM26 trades$39,2230 min
1/14/2026, 2:45:22 AM37 trades$32,43132 min
1/10/2026, 2:44:48 PM10 trades$31,2784 min
3/31/2026, 10:13:49 PM9 trades$28,0979 min
1/31/2026, 4:27:26 PM80 trades$27,51825 min
1/12/2026, 4:39:59 PM46 trades$26,7007 min
1/12/2026, 7:08:05 PM21 trades$26,29021 min
2/1/2026, 1:59:36 PM44 trades$25,27439 min
1/13/2026, 6:05:09 PM25 trades$24,28515 min
4/3/2026, 7:38:31 PM36 trades$23,63933 min
2/9/2026, 6:13:35 PM124 trades$23,62546 min
1/31/2026, 6:36:36 PM26 trades$23,40216 min
1/31/2026, 10:01:04 PM33 trades$23,01323 min
2/1/2026, 11:51:56 PM12 trades$21,13512 min
10/4/2024, 1:40:10 PM29 trades$19,74514 min
4/12/2026, 7:50:53 AM31 trades$18,9000 min
3/11/2026, 12:47:33 PM1 trades$18,8290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
08-20
01-12
07-05
01-08
03-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 132.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.8 / M19.1 / H45.1