@0x403f…b886

#116,27260

0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b886

~18d· 42 markets · 189 tradesVol: $27,8752026-08-05 02:23:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (6/25)0/20
19.94x (win $11,456 / loss $575)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.16015/15
Sortino 116.40810/10
$+3.9924 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3291 (25 markets)0/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($562 / $10,881)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+498
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 5%

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#4,857$811Vol: $8,302
🏛️ POLITICS#180,676$9Vol: $7,811
📈 ECONOMICS#649,264$-52Vol: $5,588
₿ CRYPTO#1,425,429$-68Vol: $2,400
🎭 CULTURE#63,080$12Vol: $1,747
💻 TECH#243,938$-49Vol: $1,416
📢 MENTIONS#168,353$-176Vol: $421
⚽ SPORTS#268,800$12Vol: $191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$498
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,875
Total Redeem
$1,108
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
67B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $327
Month
$-6
Vol: $862
All Time
$498
Vol: $27,875

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
6W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$498
Win Rate
24%
6W / 19L
Profit Factor
19.94x
Avg Win
$1,909
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,451 (22.985205853423526% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$11,142
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on July 24?$158
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$151
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on July 22?$0

Top Losers

Will the announcers say "McGregor" 20+ times during McGregor vs Holloway?$-342
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-133
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?$-36
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?$-11
Will "StRoGo" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$-10
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?$-9
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?$-7
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-6
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.260
Sortino
4.468
HHI
1170
Moderate
EV per $1
$5.964
Kelly %
10.1%
Half-Kelly
5.0%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
58.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2646s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 11:42:29 AM2 trades$3,1350 min
7/30/2026, 3:27:09 PM2 trades$3,1350 min
7/17/2026, 2:25:00 PM3 trades$1,4930 min
7/24/2026, 2:34:45 PM2 trades$5630 min
7/22/2026, 3:29:33 PM14 trades$5590 min
7/11/2026, 8:48:02 PM12 trades$5540 min
7/11/2026, 4:26:47 AM3 trades$4300 min
8/1/2026, 2:30:44 AM5 trades$3970 min
7/16/2026, 12:02:14 PM8 trades$3221 min
7/20/2026, 8:42:19 AM7 trades$2272 min
7/30/2026, 7:55:51 AM5 trades$2121 min
7/11/2026, 6:47:16 PM4 trades$1990 min
7/14/2026, 8:38:37 AM10 trades$1930 min
7/17/2026, 2:05:16 PM4 trades$1892 min
7/16/2026, 6:32:49 PM2 trades$1720 min
7/9/2026, 3:59:01 PM4 trades$1710 min
7/16/2026, 8:28:23 PM3 trades$1530 min
7/9/2026, 4:04:46 PM2 trades$1220 min
7/10/2026, 9:02:46 AM7 trades$954 min
7/18/2026, 12:06:45 PM6 trades$951 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
07-11
07-15
07-17
07-19
07-22
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.3 / M19.4 / H43.3