@Saffroncrypto
100x40592c5edac6476672049d5e593fcb59084d3371
~96d· 210 markets · 1767 trades2026-08-02 04:12:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (45/198)0/20
0.19x (win $5,455 / loss $28,949)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7760/15
Sortino -4.7220/10
$-0.1748 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 194 (198 markets)10/10
17/68 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 7061971% of peak ($24,011 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Whale
$134,412 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-20,554
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,412
Total Redeem
$110
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
1356B / 411S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
45W / 153L events
Realized PnL
$-20,554
Win Rate
23%
45W / 153L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$121
Avg Loss
$-205
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,263 (0.15874723348936234% of PnL)
Top Winners
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2,034
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$753
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?$476
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$463
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$442
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?$400
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$116
Seahawks vs. Patriots$111
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$91
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$90
Top Losers
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-10,132
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$-3,924
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$-2,303
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-1,866
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-1,100
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-676
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-662
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-653
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-630
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5$-572
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.248
Sortino
-0.223
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.198
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
20.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 328s — normal for humanCV 3.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)52.9%
High (>55c)36.7%
Sessions
#1212/8/2025, 12:03:03 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
12/13/2025, 7:37:05 PM2 trades$7,0000 min
1/5/2026, 5:15:31 PM3 trades$5,1413 min
3/22/2026, 4:51:55 PM4 trades$4,5585 min
5/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM6 trades$4,5570 min
3/22/2026, 4:44:53 AM14 trades$3,98313 min
3/20/2026, 11:53:09 PM34 trades$3,88039 min
12/30/2025, 7:52:51 PM2 trades$3,1001 min
3/7/2026, 6:18:55 AM3 trades$3,0785 min
12/30/2025, 8:29:53 PM2 trades$2,9550 min
1/4/2026, 2:31:51 AM1 trades$2,8600 min
1/3/2026, 5:05:35 AM3 trades$2,5905 min
3/20/2026, 9:27:29 PM13 trades$2,5287 min
1/19/2026, 1:27:00 AM6 trades$2,5157 min
3/21/2026, 4:42:21 PM5 trades$2,4881 min
3/26/2026, 2:49:27 AM10 trades$2,07012 min
3/7/2026, 7:34:35 AM4 trades$2,0595 min
3/27/2026, 6:04:03 AM6 trades$2,0254 min
3/27/2026, 6:25:15 AM2 trades$1,9310 min
3/21/2026, 1:45:55 AM17 trades$1,91812 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
12-13
01-04
01-21
02-17
03-03
04-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 116 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.11/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10.5 / M52.9 / H36.7