Polydata

@0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4

#3,068,43831

0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4

~127d· 3051 markets · 40216 tradesVol: $17,197,3222026-07-31 12:05:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (877/2806)0.6/20
1.20x (win $966,267 / loss $807,467)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4227.9/15
Sortino 0.7587.6/10
$+0.0329 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 1114 (2806 markets)6.9/10
42/122 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 221% of peak ($427,997 / $193,254)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Whale
$4,821,391 invested
High Roller
$37,088/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,881,049$-129,155Vol: $7,280,101
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,294$-222,693Vol: $6,288,994
CRYPTO#1,663,382$-5,641Vol: $987,000
🎭 CULTURE#816,214$-41,949Vol: $975,672
📈 ECONOMICS#661,096$-117Vol: $287,864
📢 MENTIONS#161,197$-81Vol: $105,828
💰 FINANCE#656,143$-1,800Vol: $83,734
🌤️ WEATHER#295,470$-694Vol: $23,440
💻 TECH#241,212$-41Vol: $497

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-530,254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,197,322
Total Redeem
$3,801
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3051
total markets
Trades
13888B / 26328S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$-172
Vol: $4,975
Week
$-2,561
Vol: $89,413
Month
$-151,039
Vol: $2,543,294
All Time
$-530,254
Vol: $17,197,322

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
31%
876W / 1930L events
Realized PnL
$-530,265
Win Rate
31%
876W / 1930L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$1,102
Avg Loss
$-484

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $637,118 (1.2015078457641688% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$497,030
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$83,302
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)$56,786
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$44,665
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$32,474
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$25,073
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$14,431
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$11,840
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$11,793
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$7,691

Top Losers

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-351,857
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-63,539
Spurs vs. Knicks$-42,195
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-30,693
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-20,442
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$-13,989
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-11,232
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-10,938
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$-9,192
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$-9,180

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.032
HHI
1972
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
74.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
309.4
Very active
Markets / Day
23.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.2m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
85.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 11.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock309 trades/day — automation23 markets/day — mass coverage33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)42.1%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 10:21:46 PM1661 trades$4,160,70133 min
6/9/2026, 12:12:43 AM398 trades$1,008,8699 min
6/11/2026, 2:33:46 PM710 trades$658,19922 min
6/11/2026, 8:49:31 PM2 trades$92,7200 min
5/6/2026, 4:28:32 PM97 trades$84,78734 min
6/16/2026, 8:57:53 PM10 trades$75,8253 min
5/6/2026, 3:49:20 PM85 trades$70,48133 min
6/26/2026, 1:40:14 AM79 trades$68,85920 min
5/8/2026, 10:55:58 PM129 trades$65,3907 min
5/7/2026, 1:54:45 AM17 trades$61,3349 min
5/18/2026, 4:29:01 PM8 trades$56,8130 min
6/26/2026, 4:01:59 AM74 trades$56,6891 min
6/13/2026, 10:47:36 AM9 trades$53,9465 min
6/19/2026, 2:57:04 AM8 trades$46,8102 min
5/9/2026, 8:35:22 AM19 trades$46,4681 min
6/16/2026, 9:03:27 AM17 trades$44,94014 min
6/8/2026, 9:59:42 PM158 trades$43,38017 min
7/5/2026, 11:14:23 PM38 trades$42,79115 min
6/16/2026, 7:44:23 PM34 trades$38,3664 min
6/9/2026, 2:50:36 AM47 trades$37,9412 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-17
05-09
05-29
06-18
07-08
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.01/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.3 / M17.6 / H42.1