@murz

#107,2773

0x4389fa451d71ca48023f9757ea30117ccb0877c0

~16d· 23 markets · 29 tradesVol: $25,057 @pawlMoore2026-08-23 11:07:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (6/22)0/20
0.53x (win $21 / loss $40)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9880/15
Sortino -5.5840/10
$-0.0101 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8747 (22 markets)0/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 6069% of peak ($32 / $1)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
SPORTS#153,332$61Vol: $11,141
CRYPTO#1,231,414$-15Vol: $2,541
🏛️ POLITICS#383,477$0Vol: $25
🎭 CULTURE#104,581$4Vol: $9
📈 ECONOMICS#466,895$-1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$605
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,057
Total Redeem
$8,494
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
25B / 4S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$359
Vol: $0
Month
$475
Vol: $11,186
All Time
$605
Vol: $25,057

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
5W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
24%
5W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.7252699784017279% of PnL)

Top Winners

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?$9
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$5
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?$3
Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?$3
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$1
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?$0

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)$-15
Solana above $140 on August 23?$-5
Cowboys vs. Giants$-5
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$-2
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?$-2
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$-2
Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?$-1
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?$-1
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.252
Sortino
-0.298
HHI
8761
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
93.5%
Top-5 markets
98.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
32s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 4.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.14
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)32%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 2:57:11 PM4 trades$1,7402 min
7/22/2026, 2:01:07 PM2 trades$730 min
12/2/2025, 12:15:10 PM1 trades$150 min
4/6/2026, 2:25:03 PM2 trades$50 min
7/17/2024, 12:26:51 PM5 trades$52 min
8/19/2024, 1:47:10 PM1 trades$50 min
1/4/2026, 5:04:11 PM1 trades$50 min
11/13/2024, 11:57:19 AM1 trades$40 min
9/6/2024, 4:17:36 PM3 trades$31 min
9/28/2024, 3:42:54 PM2 trades$21 min
12/2/2024, 4:06:55 PM1 trades$20 min
3/3/2025, 3:58:13 PM1 trades$20 min
10/16/2024, 4:06:51 PM2 trades$20 min
5/23/2025, 8:45:11 AM1 trades$20 min
4/28/2025, 3:31:40 PM1 trades$20 min
6/23/2025, 12:55:17 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-17
09-06
10-16
12-02
04-28
06-23
01-04
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 536 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44 / M24 / H32