@needleladder

#3,012,26822

0x4462e46cf0d31466693058893f4913e2411fbfdf

~38d· 770 markets · 5484 tradesVol: $426,2802026-08-02 06:40:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (309/659)8.4/20
0.60x (win $2,414 / loss $4,049)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8780/15
Sortino -2.8600/10
$-0.0650 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 154 (659 markets)10/10
17/38 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 1662% of peak ($1,769 / $106)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,847,622$-1,718Vol: $299,702
🎭 CULTURE#714,356$-16Vol: $29,639
CRYPTO#1,579,527$-425Vol: $28,308
🏛️ POLITICS#51,434$153Vol: $1,609
💰 FINANCE#437,035$-1Vol: $194
📈 ECONOMICS#624,523$-19Vol: $169
🌤️ WEATHER#199,957$-1Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,615
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$426,280
Total Redeem
$587
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
770
total markets
Trades
4488B / 996S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-186
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,615
Vol: $426,280

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
309W / 350L events
Realized PnL
$-2,615
Win Rate
47%
309W / 350L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $860 (0.32899295596907047% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$357
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$298
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$205
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$185
Will Spain win the World Cup?$62
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$42
New Zealand vs. Philippines$40
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?$37
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?$36

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-887
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-832
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-230
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-142
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-131
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-112
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-84
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-59
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.149
Sortino
-0.110
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
144.3
Very active
Markets / Day
20.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 49s — normal for humanCV 1.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock144 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.4%
High (>55c)54.5%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 10:37:14 AM75 trades$2,8677 min
6/30/2026, 7:35:31 AM130 trades$2,56935 min
6/29/2026, 6:55:35 PM65 trades$1,8186 min
6/29/2026, 2:16:56 PM55 trades$1,6690 min
6/30/2026, 8:26:02 AM114 trades$1,55719 min
6/29/2026, 11:35:34 AM70 trades$1,3609 min
6/29/2026, 7:53:02 AM30 trades$1,0534 min
6/29/2026, 3:14:49 PM60 trades$87410 min
6/28/2026, 4:23:41 PM4 trades$7052 min
6/30/2026, 6:02:29 AM60 trades$56410 min
6/30/2026, 6:46:07 AM13 trades$5324 min
6/27/2026, 4:19:40 PM183 trades$4584 min
7/8/2026, 5:11:52 PM95 trades$45340 min
6/29/2026, 7:21:55 PM5 trades$3890 min
7/5/2026, 11:34:07 AM104 trades$36518 min
7/8/2026, 4:17:04 PM67 trades$30925 min
7/11/2026, 3:10:50 AM26 trades$28418 min
7/10/2026, 8:12:38 PM44 trades$28038 min
7/12/2026, 8:31:26 PM37 trades$27429 min
7/11/2026, 11:10:25 AM10 trades$2394 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-27
07-03
07-09
07-15
07-21
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M37.4 / H54.5