@trump20242024-412

#2,979,25315

0x4605bd69687ae8a79c988e63b4eaf7330bfb9e8d

~35d· 43 markets · 225 tradesVol: $69,8202026-08-23 11:07:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (18/43)5.9/20
0.14x (win $1,829 / loss $13,031)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7530/15
Sortino -4.6250/10
$-0.8294 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1663 (43 markets)4.2/10
12/25 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 969% of peak ($12,491 / $1,289)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#26,972$1,640Vol: $29,338
₿ CRYPTO#1,676,799$-2,461Vol: $20,189
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,999$-706Vol: $18,627
🎭 CULTURE#10,606$321Vol: $1,610

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,820
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
185B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
18W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-1,198
Win Rate
42%
18W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-521

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,082 (0.9036510732802885% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$513
Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan$286
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$284
Knicks vs. Celtics$152
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$127
Cowboys vs. Lions$117
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score$89
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8PM ET$49
Whittaker vs. Chimaev$49

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,102
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-1,006
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$-538
Ethereum above $4500 on September 5?$-495
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-363
Rockets vs. Mavericks$-241
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 6AM ET$-234
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5PM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6PM ET$-151
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4PM ET$-137

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
4886
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.602
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
68%
Top-5 markets
93.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 694s — normal for humanCV 3.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)18.9%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 4:01:39 PM1 trades$2,8650 min
7/15/2026, 12:49:46 PM5 trades$1,3142 min
8/8/2025, 10:57:37 PM3 trades$1,2484 min
7/24/2026, 1:25:51 PM9 trades$1,1820 min
8/19/2025, 6:15:18 PM2 trades$9980 min
8/8/2025, 1:32:09 PM5 trades$8007 min
8/13/2025, 1:27:27 PM1 trades$6020 min
1/17/2025, 7:19:22 PM1 trades$5350 min
7/19/2026, 9:49:48 PM10 trades$5160 min
4/28/2026, 5:29:14 AM1 trades$5030 min
9/3/2025, 3:09:18 PM1 trades$4950 min
7/31/2025, 2:44:38 PM1 trades$4790 min
9/2/2025, 10:01:10 AM2 trades$4695 min
7/28/2025, 2:56:45 PM1 trades$3050 min
7/26/2025, 4:13:24 PM1 trades$3000 min
9/2/2025, 9:09:28 AM2 trades$2990 min
12/2/2025, 10:34:49 PM2 trades$2924 min
9/5/2025, 8:22:32 PM1 trades$2500 min
11/29/2025, 10:00:43 PM1 trades$2430 min
11/30/2025, 8:47:06 PM3 trades$2431 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
07-28
08-18
09-05
12-02
04-28
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 340 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.6 / M32.4 / H18.9