@lostapiv
#13,367720x4655f1b8f5d9ee4418ab0963728bc68899ddb1bc
~27d· 34 markets · 208 tradesVol: $103,2632026-10-08 02:27:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (13/33)4.7/20
2.11x (win $46,356 / loss $22,013)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.47315/15
Sortino 15.02110/10
$+0.9501 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 611 (33 markets)9.4/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($11,671 / $29,951)6.2/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+11,715
Contrarian
83% entries < $0.55
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#8,632$5,570Vol: $81,290
🏛️ POLITICS#5,981$5,542Vol: $21,973
Overview
#1Net PnL
$11,112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,263
Total Redeem
$603
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
48B / 160S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Week
$-114
Vol: $0
Month
$-128
Vol: $3,786
All Time
$11,112
Vol: $103,263
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
13W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$11,715
Win Rate
39%
13W / 20L
Profit Factor
2.11x
Avg Win
$3,566
Avg Loss
$-1,295
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,465 (2.941872494724838% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$26,382
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$4,652
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$3,431
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$3,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$1,885
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$1,632
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$1,589
Spread: Austria (-1.5)$1,128
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$1,000
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$961
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2,376
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-2,000
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-2,000
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,991
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$-1,638
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$-1,092
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-1,000
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-1,000
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$-1,000
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-1,000
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.178
Sortino
1.305
HHI
1835
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.759
Kelly %
5.9%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
38.8%
Top-5 markets
64.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.48
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9914s — normal for humanCV 0.48 — uniform order sizes4% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)83.3%
High (>55c)16.7%
Sessions
#124/16/2026, 9:22:06 PM8 trades$4,4454 min
6/26/2026, 6:24:05 AM7 trades$4,3161 min
6/24/2026, 9:36:02 AM19 trades$3,5741 min
6/24/2026, 7:41:59 AM5 trades$3,5635 min
6/23/2026, 6:48:46 AM8 trades$3,0830 min
6/25/2026, 5:43:52 AM6 trades$2,5070 min
6/20/2026, 6:12:52 PM28 trades$2,4421 min
5/4/2026, 5:36:40 PM19 trades$2,2911 min
9/8/2026, 3:43:43 PM14 trades$1,9710 min
6/17/2026, 6:10:52 AM2 trades$1,9230 min
6/19/2026, 6:36:19 AM6 trades$1,8520 min
7/4/2026, 7:59:10 AM5 trades$1,8520 min
6/18/2026, 7:27:32 AM2 trades$1,6670 min
6/14/2026, 8:36:55 PM2 trades$1,6520 min
6/15/2026, 7:31:52 AM2 trades$1,6380 min
6/29/2026, 6:31:50 PM2 trades$1,5450 min
4/29/2026, 7:51:16 AM4 trades$1,5390 min
6/29/2026, 6:10:38 PM7 trades$1,5150 min
6/8/2026, 7:31:57 PM2 trades$1,4980 min
6/14/2026, 3:57:52 PM2 trades$1,4710 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
05-04
06-08
06-16
06-19
06-22
06-25
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0 / M83.3 / H16.7