@flyip
#41,268730x469c7f793fa34a154f2d378b2397daa9eb65309b
~169d· 216 markets · 186794 tradesVol: $19,112,9502026-08-02 06:25:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (50/117)6.4/20
1.90x (win $24,949 / loss $13,111)13.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.85715/15
Sortino 5.77210/10
$+0.1561 per $1 invested7.8/10
HHI 536 (117 markets)9.8/10
33/65 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($6,333 / $13,388)4.5/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+2,685
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$75,811 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6📈 ECONOMICS#6,227$320Vol: $8,165,091
🏛️ POLITICS#20,731$791Vol: $6,377,996
⚽ SPORTS#55,625$520Vol: $3,147,508
🎭 CULTURE#14,774$180Vol: $696,252
💰 FINANCE#11,291$231Vol: $363,183
₿ CRYPTO#38,220$642Vol: $362,921
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,685
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,112,950
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
216
total markets
Trades
12685B / 6115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d
Periods
#2Today
$8
Vol: $1,295
Week
$-219
Vol: $1,295
Month
$37
Vol: $7,236
All Time
$2,685
Vol: $19,112,950
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
63W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$2,685
Win Rate
51%
63W / 61L
Profit Factor
1.9x
Avg Win
$499
Avg Loss
$-196
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,833 (8.504870281042221% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12,662
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9,819
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$352
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$283
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$235
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$192
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$147
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$134
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$125
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$103
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,576
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,940
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,092
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-754
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-637
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-611
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$-602
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-488
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-381
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-354
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.097
Sortino
0.226
HHI
265
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.259
Kelly %
9.1%
Half-Kelly
4.6%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
29.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
957.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.2m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock958 trades/day — automation1.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
71.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.1%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)30.5%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 2:56:28 PM111 trades$1,9575 min
4/29/2026, 4:46:24 PM22 trades$1,69713 min
2/19/2026, 10:20:58 AM57 trades$93926 min
2/17/2026, 8:19:11 AM20 trades$87917 min
3/15/2026, 2:29:37 PM1 trades$7600 min
5/28/2026, 2:13:08 PM13 trades$66613 min
2/17/2026, 12:19:43 AM10 trades$6610 min
1/29/2026, 11:43:52 PM90 trades$58572 min
2/16/2026, 8:17:29 AM15 trades$5683 min
1/28/2026, 2:25:49 AM3 trades$5430 min
2/22/2026, 8:18:22 PM15 trades$4878 min
4/10/2026, 8:42:25 PM1 trades$4790 min
2/16/2026, 12:20:01 AM18 trades$4778 min
4/29/2026, 9:51:22 AM21 trades$4400 min
2/20/2026, 4:16:46 AM32 trades$43614 min
5/29/2026, 2:51:49 PM14 trades$4329 min
5/6/2026, 8:50:50 AM31 trades$42935 min
5/7/2026, 2:25:30 PM9 trades$4240 min
2/13/2026, 5:01:05 AM68 trades$42264 min
2/17/2026, 4:09:39 AM23 trades$42131 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-14
02-27
03-28
05-09
05-24
06-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.66/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.1 / M8.4 / H30.5