@moorerussell

#2,518,24011

0x4754b672ef0c2f8059eb728936bed1032fe15b07

~19d· 39 markets · 110 tradesVol: $39,4002026-08-25 10:49:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (17/36)8.6/20
0.60x (win $110 / loss $184)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.1070/15
Sortino -7.6340/10
$-0.0035 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4475 (36 markets)0/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 1864% of peak ($78 / $4)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,405,222$-24Vol: $13,558
🎭 CULTURE#735,751$-21Vol: $11,797
⚽ SPORTS#1,565,841$-38Vol: $7,949
📈 ECONOMICS#544,299$-3Vol: $5,895
₿ CRYPTO#304,947$4Vol: $203

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-83
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,400
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
43B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Month
$-9
Vol: $17,719
All Time
$-83
Vol: $39,400

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
17W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-83
Win Rate
47%
17W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (0.6026401840862299% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?$19
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?$18
Lightning vs. Panthers$13
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?$13
Wild vs. Jets$12
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 9?$10
Ethereum Up or Down on April 7?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 9?$5
Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$4
Solana above $125 on April 11?$4

Top Losers

Capitals vs. Devils$-15
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5$-15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?$-14
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-22?$-14
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be less than 9m?$-13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?$-13
Sharks vs. Canucks$-13
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)$-12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?$-12
Will Albania be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.412
Sortino
-0.380
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
42.4%
Half-Kelly
21.2%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
15.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
49.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2970s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.06
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)62.8%

Sessions

#12
8/8/2026, 10:43:55 AM62 trades$3,8030 min
3/1/2026, 3:11:35 PM2 trades$3,1712 min
8/9/2026, 4:25:07 AM2 trades$2,9730 min
8/9/2026, 5:26:45 AM2 trades$2,9730 min
8/8/2026, 9:56:09 AM2 trades$2,9460 min
8/9/2026, 9:23:18 PM2 trades$2,9400 min
8/9/2026, 10:12:48 PM2 trades$2,9400 min
3/1/2026, 1:46:39 PM1 trades$1,5880 min
3/1/2026, 2:58:47 PM1 trades$1,5860 min
12/26/2025, 11:27:45 PM4 trades$555 min
1/22/2026, 4:53:56 AM3 trades$393 min
2/13/2026, 4:28:39 PM3 trades$363 min
4/30/2025, 4:13:49 AM1 trades$150 min
1/9/2026, 1:18:42 PM1 trades$140 min
5/1/2025, 1:44:33 PM1 trades$140 min
1/9/2026, 1:06:58 PM1 trades$130 min
5/18/2025, 12:03:53 PM1 trades$130 min
1/29/2026, 1:22:32 PM1 trades$130 min
5/5/2025, 1:17:42 AM1 trades$130 min
1/9/2026, 1:12:16 PM1 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-19
04-22
04-30
05-05
05-18
01-09
01-29
03-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 330 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M23.3 / H62.8